Obesity trends in Russia. The impact on health and healthcare costs

Rtveladze, K; Marsh, Timothy; Webber, Laura; Kilpi, Fanny; Goryakin, Yevgeniy; Kontsevaya, А. V.; Starodubova, A. V.; McPherson, Klim; Brown, Martin

doi:10.4236/health.2012.412a212

Cited by 16 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…This Irish research replicates work conducted in other countries using the UK foresight obesity model. The results of this study are consistent with that found in the Russian Federation, Poland, the UK, USA and Latin America [ 18 , 19 , 20 , 11 ], where the level of overweight and obesity is projected to increase, leading to an increased burden of disease and associated healthcare costs.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 90%

Application of the UK Foresight Obesity Model in Ireland: The Health and Economic Consequences of Projected Obesity Trends in Ireland

et al. 2013

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BackgroundGiven the scale of the current obesity epidemic and associated health consequences there has been increasing concern about the economic burden placed on society in terms of direct healthcare costs and indirect societal costs. In the Republic of Ireland these costs were estimated at €1.13 billion for 2009. The total direct healthcare costs for six major obesity related conditions (coronary heart disease & stroke, cancer, hypertension, type 2 diabetes and knee osteoarthritis) in the same year were estimated at €2.55 billion. The aim of this research is to project disease burden and direct healthcare costs for these conditions in Ireland to 2030 using the established model developed by the Health Forum (UK) for the Foresight: Tackling Obesities project.MethodologyRoutine data sources were used to derive incidence, prevalence, mortality and survival for six conditions as inputs for the model. The model utilises a two stage modelling process to predict future BMI rates, disease prevalence and costs. Stage 1 employs a non-linear multivariate regression model to project BMI trends; stage 2 employs a microsimulation approach to produce longitudinal projections and test the impact of interventions upon future incidence of obesity-related disease.ResultsOverweight and obesity are projected to reach levels of 89% and 85% in males and females respectively by 2030. This will result in an increase in the obesity related prevalence of CHD & stroke by 97%, cancers by 61% and type 2 diabetes by 21%. The direct healthcare costs associated with these increases will amount to €5.4 billion by 2030. A 5% reduction in population BMI levels by 2030 is projected to result in €495 million less being spent in obesity-related direct healthcare costs over twenty years.DiscussionThese findings have significant implications for policy, highlighting the need for effective strategies to prevent this avoidable health and economic burden.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 90%

Application of the UK Foresight Obesity Model in Ireland: The Health and Economic Consequences of Projected Obesity Trends in Ireland

et al. 2013

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“…In this paper, the authors map the trajectory of future weight trends to 2050 based on best currently available data utilising a method already applied in the UK and the US [19] as well as other Latin American countries [20] and Eastern Europe [21]; [29] where obesity and obesity-related diseases have imposed considerable morbidy burden and economic contraints. We measure the future consequences of BMI trends on the associated disease burden and the health care costs of adult Brazilian population (20 years or older).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Health and Economic Burden of Obesity in Brazil

Rtveladze¹,

Marsh²,

Webber³

et al. 2013

PLoS ONE

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IntroductionHigher and lower-middle income countries are increasingly affected by obesity. Obesity-related diseases are placing a substantial health and economic burden on Brazil. Our aim is to measure the future consequences of these trends on the associated disease burden and health care costs.MethodA previously developed micro-simulation model is used to project the extent of obesity, obesity-related diseases and associated healthcare costs to 2050. In total, thirteen diseases were considered: coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, diabetes, osteoarthritis, and eight cancers. We simulated three hypothetical intervention scenarios: no intervention, 1% and 5% reduction in body mass index (BMI).ResultsIn 2010, nearly 57% of the Brazilian male population was overweight or obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m2), but the model projects rates as high as 95% by 2050. A slightly less pessimistic picture is predicted for females, increasing from 43% in 2010 to 52% in 2050. Coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, cancers, osteoarthritis and diabetes prevalence cases are projected to at least double by 2050, reaching nearly 34,000 cases of hypertension by 2050 (per 100,000). 1% and 5% reduction in mean BMI will save over 800 prevalence cases and nearly 3,000 cases of hypertension by 2050 respectively (per 100,000). The health care costs will double from 2010 ($5.8 billion) in 2050 alone ($10.1 billion). Over 40 years costs will reach $330 billion. However, with effective interventions the costs can be reduced to $302 billion by 1% and to $273 billion by 5% reduction in mean BMI across the population.ConclusionObesity rates are rapidly increasing creating a high burden of disease and associated costs. However, an effective intervention to decrease obesity by just 1% will substantially reduce obesity burden and will have a significant effect on health care expenditure.

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“…Obesity is a global lifestyle disease that is affecting millions of individuals around the world. Russia, like other developing countries, shows alerting trends in their obese statistics (Rtveladze et al, 2012). Russia is the largest former soviet country with a diverse and vibrant changing food culture.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Obesity Levels in the Russian Federation—A Risk Reduction Portfolio Management Corporate Governance Approach to the Bio-Psycho-Social Influence of Marketing Projects in the Russian Fast Food Industry

Marchenko¹

2020

JSS

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The research is focused on determining Ethical Considerations of Obesity Levels in the Russian Federation-A Risk Reduction Portfolio Management Corporate Governance Approach to the Biopsychosocial Influence of Marketing Projects in the Russian Fast Food Industry. The birth of this idea is with Bombeck, who has authored more than 4000 newspaper columns about the day to day suburban life. The objectives of this research include: To know whether there is a link between fast food marketing in childhood and fast food consumption in adult life; whether a decline in children-oriented fast-food marketing campaigns causes lower obesity levels and associated economic and social problems and the last objective is to determine if a Russian Government Portfolio Management Framework would reduce the risks to the Russian economy with regards to the approach. A qualitative research method was used, which included literature review, survey and interviews. The findings of the research were; there is a link between fast food marketing campaigns in childhood and consumer behavior in adulthood. A decline in campaigns leads to a reduction in obesity levels and associated costs. The Russian government portfolio Management Framework will reduce obesity risks in the country. In conclusion, various steps need to be made to reduce the increase in obesity and the diseases that accompany it. Society, together with the government, should seek stringent measures to prevent manufacturers from exploiting the ill-informed masses. The curriculum in schools should be modeled to incorporate health and fitness. Besides, people need to change their mindset con-How to cite this paper: Marchenko, V. (2020). Obesity Levels in the Russian Federation-A Risk Reduction Portfolio Management Corporate Governance Approach to the Bio-Psycho-Social Influence of Marketing Projects in the Russian Fast Food

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Obesity trends in Russia. The impact on health and healthcare costs

Cited by 16 publications

References 23 publications

Application of the UK Foresight Obesity Model in Ireland: The Health and Economic Consequences of Projected Obesity Trends in Ireland

Application of the UK Foresight Obesity Model in Ireland: The Health and Economic Consequences of Projected Obesity Trends in Ireland

Health and Economic Burden of Obesity in Brazil

Obesity Levels in the Russian Federation—A Risk Reduction Portfolio Management Corporate Governance Approach to the Bio-Psycho-Social Influence of Marketing Projects in the Russian Fast Food Industry

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