O13.3 Estimating the Epidemiological Impact of Antiretroviral Treatment on Heterosexual HIV Epidemics in South India: A Modeling Study

Abstract

of sero-discordant partnerships and 'transactional sex' groups (a relatively large subset of the population, often ignored in modelling analysis) in the model, which are classified as 'high-risk'.The UNAIDS MoT remains an accessible and potentially useful model that can help inform intervention priorities. However, our findings strongly suggest that the current model may produce misleading findings, especially in more concentrated HIV epidemic settings. Results from this study indicate the need for UNAIDS to conduct a formal review of the MoT, and for further revisions to be made.