O Sol, o motor das variabilidades climáticas

Zuffo, Antônio Carlos

doi:10.4322/dae.2014.142

Cited by 15 publications

(20 citation statements)

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“…The looping succession over dry and wet periods is called Joseph effect, as recurring patterns (MANDELBROT; WALLIS, 1968). Zuffo (2015) attested the occurrence of a dryer period in Campinas, state of Sao Paulo, from the years 1933 to 1970 as a cyclical effect. The author conclusions supplement the findings of this article, as shorter series are not representative in demonstrating the long-term evolution of an entire hydrological aspect.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Changes in precipitation rates over the last 70 years in Eastern Paraná State, Brazil

Juliani

Okawa

Mine

2021

CeN

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Temporal hydrometeorological series may present variations over time. The awareness of these characteristics is important to improve the monitoring of changes that these series may suffer along time. In this regard, the present paper aims to identify the existence of precipitation trends for the east portion of Paraná state, in Brazil, and also investigate the changes in the observed rates over the last 70 years. The statistical tests of Mann-Kendall and Pettitt, and also the Theil-Sen estimator, are applied for series of precipitation from 13 pluviometric stations of eastern Paraná state, Brazil, with 70 years of data records. By the results it was identified long-term linear positive trend for 11 of the precipitation series and also detected medium-term patterns in precipitation over 10 stations, characterizing the Joseph effect. These series have presented a behavior with higher rates in the most recent years in comparison from the first years of the historical data, sectioning the complete series into two shorter stationary periods, and presenting an abrupt change point.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Changes in precipitation rates over the last 70 years in Eastern Paraná State, Brazil

Juliani

Okawa

Mine

2021

CeN

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“…Droughts have also caused water rationing in large urban centers due to depleted water supply reservoirs. Three of the most recent cases are in Cape Town in South Africa, Barcelona in Spain (Martin-Ortega & Markandya, 2009), and São Paulo in Brazil (Otto et al, 2015, Zuffo, 2015, Muller, 2018. In all of these cases, the main point of discussion was whether climatic extremes could be attributed as the primary driver of these events.…”

Section: Climate Extremes and Urban Water Managementmentioning

confidence: 99%

Infraestrutura Azul-Verde nas cidades: adaptação às mudanças climáticas e redução da poluição hídrica por micropoluentes farmacêuticos

Barcellos¹,

Faggian²,

Sposito³

et al. 2021

REGA

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“…As influências extraterrestres que forçam o clima da Terra são sustentadas por diversas evidências empíricas, destacando-se: o papel do Sol na regulação da dinâmica climática na Terra (Versteegh 2005, Mackey 2009, Zuffo 2015; a complexa interação Terra-Sol-Lua (Berger et al 2002, Treloar 2002, Davis & Brewer 2011, Scafetta 2014; as origens astronômicas das oscilações oceânicas (Mazzarella & Scafetta 2011); e os superciclos bio-geo-oceânico-atmosféricos relacionados ao movimentos do Sistema Solar na Via Láctea (Tiwari & Rao 2003, Steiner 1967. Conforme descrito por Benkö (1985), Chumakov (2002Chumakov ( , 2005, Bartlein (2007) Dentro de um enorme intervalo temporal que varia em mais de dez ordens de grandeza, compreendendo desde ciclos diários (10 -3 anos) até ciclos tectônicos/galácticos (10 8 anos), as variações cíclicas do clima apresentadas foram consideradas individualmente com o intuito de facilitar a compreensão de cada tipo de ciclo e os fenômenos específicos envolvidos.…”

Section: Considerações Finaisunclassified

Ciclos climáticos e causas naturais das mudanças do clima

et al. 2018

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TerraeDid atic a IntroduçãoA presente histeria sobre aquecimento global -com a previsão apocalíptica de fusão das calotas de gelo polar, inundação de cidades costeiras e desertificação de zonas produtoras de alimentos -não ajuda os cidadãos a compreender as forças reais e complexas que moldam o clima da Terra (Hecht 1993(Hecht -1994.Tentar entender o clima tem sido prática de sobrevivência desde os primórdios da humanidade. Inegavelmente, compreender o momento ideal do plantio e da colheita fez parte das técnicas da agricultura primitiva que permitiram ao homem a transição do nomadismo para o sedentarismo. Assim, a partir da constatação da óbvia alternância entre o dia e a noite, da observação das fases da Lua, da dedução das estações do ano, foi-se descobrindo a estreita relação entre esses fenômenos (cíclicos e de origem astronômica) com as alterações do clima na Terra (também de caráter periódico). ABSTRACT:The periodic nature of climate changes on the Earth can be explained in terms of a limited number of terrestrial and astronomical factors. In annual/daily scales, the climate varies according to the Earth's revolution and rotation. Medium term climate cycles (decades/centuries/millennia) are related to changes in solar radiation caused by the influences of major planets of the Solar System. Oceanic oscillations (decadal order) are possibly caused by the planetary and lunar influences. Long term climate cycles (tens and hundreds of thousand years) are caused by variations in the parameters of Earth's orbit (eccentricity, obliquity and precession). Impact events of large bodies on the planet and mass extinction arise from supercycles (tens of millions of years) caused by the vertical oscillation of the solar system relative to the galactic plane. Tectonics, volcanism and the evolution of supercontinents exhibit supercycles (hundreds of million years) induced by the Solar System movement around the Milky Way center and by the cosmic rays variation. Astronomical factors permeate virtually all the climate cycles orders, acting directly or indirectly in many bio-geo-oceanic-atmospheric processes. It is concluded that the Earth's climate is characterized by cycles astronomically controlled by the Moon, the Sun, the planets, the Solar System and even the Galaxy. Ciclos climáticos e causas naturais das mudanças do clima

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O Sol, o motor das variabilidades climáticas

Cited by 15 publications

References 0 publications

Changes in precipitation rates over the last 70 years in Eastern Paraná State, Brazil

Changes in precipitation rates over the last 70 years in Eastern Paraná State, Brazil

Infraestrutura Azul-Verde nas cidades: adaptação às mudanças climáticas e redução da poluição hídrica por micropoluentes farmacêuticos

Ciclos climáticos e causas naturais das mudanças do clima

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