O planejamento energético brasileiro na perspectiva da oferta e da demanda de gás liquefeito de petróleo e eletricidade

Abstract

Julgamento:________________________Assinatura:___________________________ SGARBI, F. A. Brazilian energy planning in the perspective of supply and demand of liquefied petroleum gas and electricity. 2018. 167 f. Tese (Doutorado) -Instituto de Energia e Ambiente, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, 2018. Ensuring the supply of the energy inputs demanded by the different sectors of the economy is indispensable for the socioeconomic development and the sovereignty of a nation. In general, the search for energy security requires the continuous monitoring of the different factors that may interfere in the evolution of the demand and supply of energy. On the demand side, these factors include economic activity, technological development (mainly the one related to the energy efficiency of processes), income and habits of the population, among other aspects. On the supply side, in can be mentioned, as examples, new discoveries and the exhaustion of old energy reserves, national and international energy markets, the development of new energy conversion technologies and the evolution of the legal framework that regulates this activity. The integrated study of these variables, as broadly defined by the term "Energy Planning", enables risks and opportunities associated with energy security to be anticipated and thus avoided, mitigated or enhanced. In this context, the present thesis is composed of four articles focused on different aspects of demand and supply of energy in Brazil: "The Brazilian experience with liquefied petroleum gas -implications for public policies"; "Socioeconomic and environmental impacts of hydropower plants"; "The role of the Brazilian electricity sector in the context of the Paris Agreement" and "Evaluation of the composition of the socio-environmental costs of hydropower plants". Based on analyzes of trends in residential consumption of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and the role of environmental issues in the development of the electricity generation mix, Brazilian energy sector perspectives arediscussed. The papers presented identify challenges that the country may have to deal with in order to expand its energy supply, and thus contribute to solidifying the theoretical framework on which Brazilian energy planning is built.