“…But numerous studies document failures of prediction. For example, performance on theory-of-mind tasks fails to significantly predict - autistic traits in either autistic or nonautistic participants , as measured by clinicians’ observation, self-report, or informant-report ( N = 1513 nonautistic adults, Kunihira, Senju, Dairoku, Wakabayashi, & Hasegawa, 2006; N = 638 nonautistic children, Ronald, Viding, Happé, & Plomin, 2006; N = 395 autistic adults, Lombardo et al, 2015; N = 220 nonautistic adults, Ragsdale & Foley, 2011; N = 206 nonautistic men, Voracek & Dressler, 2006; N = 194 autistic and 60 nonautistic children, Scheeren et al, 2013; N = 178 autistic men, 168 nonautistic women, and 152 nonautistic men, Baron-Cohen et al, 2015; N = 108 nonautistic adults, Melchers, Montag, Markett, & Reuter, 2015; N = 100 autistic adolescents, Lukito et al, 2017; N = 100 autistic adolescents, Jones et al, 2018; N = 89 autistic and 89 nonautistic adults, Wilson et al, 2014; N = 79 nonautistic women, Valla et al, 2010; N = 56 autistic children, Salter, Seigal, Claxton, Lawrence, & Skuse, 2008; see similar results with smaller samples in Bryant, Coffey, Povinelli, & Pruett, 2013; Burnside, Wright, & Poulin-Dubois, 2017; Clemmensen et al, 2016; Dziobek et al, 2006; Murray et al, 2017; Ozonoff & McEvoy, 1994)
- empathy and emotional understanding ( N = 484 nonautistic adults, Olderbak et al, 2015; N = 395 autistic adults, Lombardo et al, 2015; N = 342 nonautistic adolescents, Sharp & Vanwoerden, 2014; N = 220 nonautistic adults, Ragsdale & Foley, 2011; N = 200 nonautistic adults, Vellante et al, 2013; N = 178 autistic men, 168 nonautistic women, and 152 nonautistic men, Baron-Cohen et al, 2015; N = 162 nonautistic adults, Ferguson & Austin, 2010; N = 121 nonautistic adolescents and adults, Gökçen, Frederickson, & Petrides, 2016; N = 108 nonautistic adults, Melchers et al, 2015; N = 89 autistic and 89 nonautistic adults, Wilson et al, 2014; N = 58 nonautistic children, Tsang, Gillespie-Lynch, & Hutman, 2016; N = 53 nonautistic adults, Lawrence et al, 2004; see similar results with smaller samples in Carroll & Chiew, 2006; Campbell et al, 2011; Muller et al, 2010; Peterson, 2014)
- everyday social skills ( N = 398 nonautistic children, Shahrivar, Tehrani-Doost, Khorrami Banaraki, Mohammadzadeh, & Happé, 2017; N = 164 and 140 nonautistic adults, Ames & Kammrath, 2004; N = 124 nonautistic adolescents, Botting & Conti-Ramsden, 2008; N = 101 nonautistic children, Lunn, Lewis, & Sher...
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