Abstract. Stettler C, Suter Y, Allemann S, Zwahlen M, Christ ER, Diem P (University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland). Apolipoprotein B as a long-term predictor of mortality in type 1 diabetes mellitus: a 15-year follow up. J Intern Med 2006; 260: 272-280.Objectives. To evaluate the association of apolipoprotein B (apo B) with mortality due to all causes, to cardiac disease and to ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in subjects with type 1 diabetes mellitus. Subjects. 165 subjects with type 1 diabetes included in the Swiss Cohort of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes were followed for 14.7 ± 0.45 years. Methods. Causes of death were obtained from death certificates, hospital records and postmortem reports. Using a parametric proportional hazards model the association of apo B with mortality rates was assessed by time-to-event analysis, including the absolute cumulative mortality risk over time for various apo B levels at baseline.Results. Apo B was positively associated with allcause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 2.65 per g L )1 increase of apo B, 95% CI: 1.11-6.36, P ¼ 0.029], cardiac mortality (HR 11.64, 1.03-131.11, P ¼ 0.047) and IHD mortality (HR 9.36, 1.26-69.66, P ¼ 0.029). An apo B ‡0.96 g L )1 translated into a duplication of overall mortality hazard (HR 1.93, 1.00-3.72, P ¼ 0.050), and a sevenfold increase of mortality because of cardiac disease or IHD (HR 7.44, P ¼ 0.017 and HR 7.38,, P ¼ 0.081). A baseline apo B of 1.5 g L )1 predicted an absolute cumulative risk to die over the next 10 years of 12.1% (5.2-31.7) for male and of 10.4% (4.7-26.1) for female subjects whereas risks were 6.3% (1.8-21.4) and 5.4% (0.8-15.8) for an apo B of 0.8 g L )1 . Conclusion. Apo B is consistently associated with an increased mortality in type 1 diabetes.