2011
DOI: 10.5194/acp-11-5027-2011
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Nonlinear response of ozone to precursor emission changes in China: a modeling study using response surface methodology

Abstract: Abstract. Statistical response surface methodology (RSM)is successfully applied for a Community Multi-scale Air Quality model (CMAQ) analysis of ozone sensitivity studies. Prediction performance has been demonstrated through cross validation, out-of-sample validation and isopleth validation. Sample methods and key parameters, including the maximum numbers of variables involved in statistical interpolation and training samples have been tested and selected through computational experiments. Overall impacts from… Show more

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Cited by 195 publications
(154 citation statements)
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“…Enhanced surface O 3 concentrations were found over rural areas of Shanghai compared to the city center (Geng et al, 2008;Xing et al, 2011). This probably resulted from the significant contribution of anthropogenic emissions of NO in the city center, which consumes ambient ozone through NO titration (i.e., NO+O 3 → NO 2 +O 2 ).…”
Section: Ozone Vertical Distributionmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…Enhanced surface O 3 concentrations were found over rural areas of Shanghai compared to the city center (Geng et al, 2008;Xing et al, 2011). This probably resulted from the significant contribution of anthropogenic emissions of NO in the city center, which consumes ambient ozone through NO titration (i.e., NO+O 3 → NO 2 +O 2 ).…”
Section: Ozone Vertical Distributionmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…For example, the non-linear response of pollutant concentrations to precursors' emissions has not been well considered in current zero-out method. More advanced sensitivity analysis methods such as high-order direct decoupled methods (Hakami et al, 2003;Cohan et al, 2005), response surface modeling (Wang et al, 2011b;Xing et al, 2011;Zhao et al, 2015) are recommended for further sensitivity studies. Besides, uncertainties still exists for the aerosol concentration predictions and future work is needed in to get better model performance.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, most of these studies have concluded that East Asian megacity regions are mostly in the VOC limited regime (Tseng et al, 2009;Y. H. Zhang et al, 2008;Lim et al, 2011;Cheng et al, 2010;Shao et al, 2009a, b;Xing et al, 2011). Recently, however, a modeling study by Li et al (2013) in the Pearl River Delta region in China demonstrated the time dependence of ozone production regimes.…”
Section: Implications Of the Uncertainty In Ho X Estimations In Assesmentioning
confidence: 99%