Non‐Linear Vertical Land Motion of Coastal Chile and the Antarctic Peninsula Inferred From Combining Satellite Altimetry, Tide Gauge and GPS Data

Abstract

We developed an enhanced Kalman‐based approach to quantify abrupt changes and significant non‐linearity in vertical land motion (VLM) along the coast of Chile and the Antarctic Peninsula using a combination of multi‐mission satellite altimetry (ALT), tide gauge (TG), and GPS data starting from the early 1990s. The data reveal the spatial variability of co‐seismic and post‐seismic subsidence at TGs along the Chilean subduction zone in response to the Mw8.8 Maule 2010, Mw8.1 Iquique 2014, and Mw8.3 Illapel 2015 earthquakes that are not retrievable from the interpolation of sparse GPS observations across space and time. In the Antarctic Peninsula, where continuous GPS data do not commence until ∼1998, the approach provides new insight into the ∼2002 change in VLM at the TGs of +5.3 ± 2.2 mm/yr (Palmer) and +3.5 ± 2.8 mm/yr (Vernadsky) due to the onset of ice‐mass loss following the Larsen‐B Ice Shelf breakup. We used these data to constrain viscoelastic Earth model parameters for the northern Antarctic Peninsula, obtaining a preferred lithosphere thickness of 115 km and upper mantle viscosity of 0.9 × 1018 Pa s. Our estimates of regionally‐correlated ALT systematic errors are small, typically between ∼±0.5–2.5 mm/yr over single‐mission time scales. These are consistent with competing orbit differences and the relative errors apparent in ALT crossovers. This study demonstrates that, with careful tuning, the ALT‐TG technique can provide improved temporal and spatial sampling of VLM, yielding new constraints on geodynamic models and assisting sea‐level change studies in otherwise data sparse regions and periods.