No evidence for second leg home advantage in recent seasons of European soccer cups

Amez, Simon; Baert, Stijn; Neyt, Brecht; Vandemaele, Maarten

doi:10.1080/13504851.2019.1630704

Cited by 10 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 18 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…As the main reasons for this change, they argue a decrease of the goals being scored since the mid-1970s 5 as well as a reduction in the gap between the number of home/away wins. These results align with the findings by Page and Page (2007), Eugster et al (2011), Geenens and Cuddihy (2018), and Amez et al (2020 that closing the series at home did not provide a statistical significant advantage. However, all these analyses include the AGR as a baseline (as they only considered UEFA tournaments).…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

About the “Away Goals Rule” in Association Football. Does Scrapping the Rule Increase the Fairness of the Game?

Bahamonde-Birke

Bahamonde-Birke²

2022

Journal of Sports Economics

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The present study analyzes all major international football tournaments organized by UEFA and CONMEBOL during a period of 30 years to assess the impact of the away goals rule (AGR). The study takes advantage of natural experiment given by the differentiated application of the AGR by both confederations, in order to assess the efficacy and the consequences of the rule in terms of both the total amount of goals being scored (the original intention of the rule) and the teams that progressed onto the next stages. The results show that the AGR seems to have failed to fulfill its original goal of increasing both scoring by teams playing away and scoring in general. The AGR is found to have a significant impact favoring the chances of the team starting the series at home. However, it still does not translate into a higher probability of progressing onto the next stage than the team closing the series at home. Closing the series at home has an intrinsic advantage, which is only countered, although not completely, by the impact of the AGR. Regarding tiebreakers, we observe that closing the series at home has a positive impact no matter whether overtimes with AGR or penalty shootouts are used as tiebreakers. However, playing an overtime, when no AGR is set in place has a determining influence favoring the team closing the series at home.

show abstract

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

About the “Away Goals Rule” in Association Football. Does Scrapping the Rule Increase the Fairness of the Game?

Bahamonde-Birke

Bahamonde-Birke²

2022

Journal of Sports Economics

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In a recent study Van Damme and Baert (2019) investigate the effects of various distance measures on home advantage in European international football concluding that altitude is important as well as crowd sizes. Amez et al (2020) find that the second leg of a knock-out confrontation does not have a bigger home advantage, which matters because clubs play two matches against each other in the knock-out phase of the UEFA Europa League and UEFA Champions League.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 86%

Seasonal Home Advantage in English Professional Football; 1973-2018

Peeters

Ours

2020

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

We study seasonal home advantage in English professional football over the period 1974 to 2018. We distinguish between absolute home advantage, enjoyed equally by all teams in a division, and relative home advantage, which differs among teams in the division. We find that absolute home advantage is substantial, ranging from 0.59 to 0.64 in terms of points per game or 0.44 to 0.46 in terms of goal difference. Likewise, clubs differ substantially in the relative home advantage they enjoy. Relative home advantage is positively related to within-team variation in attendance and the use of an artificial pitch. Despite big cross-divisional differences in attendance, absolute home advantage is about the same in all divisions. Finally, there is a substantial decline in absolute home advantage over time that materializes equally across divisions.

show abstract

“…According to Page & Page (2007), playing the second leg at home in the knockout phase of European cups, including the Champions League, means a significant-albeit somewhat declining -advantage. This finding has been reinforced in Geenens & Cuddihy (2018) but has been questioned recently by Amez et al (2020). Eugster et al (2011) conclude that the observed difference can be attributed to the performance in the group stage and the teams' general strength.…”

Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 97%

UEFA Against the Champions? An Evaluation of the Recent Reform of the Champions League Qualification

Csató

2022

Journal of Sports Economics

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The paper evaluates the impact of the only reform in the Champions Path of UEFA Champions League qualifying system, effective from the 2018/19 season. In contrast to previous studies, our methodology considers five seasons instead of only one to filter out any possible season-specific attributes. The chances of some national champions decrease much stronger than suggested by the reduction in the number of available slots. Since the negative effects depend to a large extent on the arbitrary cutoffs in the access list, we propose to introduce some randomness into the determination of entry stages.

show abstract

No evidence for second leg home advantage in recent seasons of European soccer cups

Cited by 10 publications

References 18 publications

About the “Away Goals Rule” in Association Football. Does Scrapping the Rule Increase the Fairness of the Game?

About the “Away Goals Rule” in Association Football. Does Scrapping the Rule Increase the Fairness of the Game?

Seasonal Home Advantage in English Professional Football; 1973-2018

UEFA Against the Champions? An Evaluation of the Recent Reform of the Champions League Qualification

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About