Ni gauche ni droite? Positioning the candidates in the 2017 French presidential election

König, Pascal D.; Waldvogel, Thomas

doi:10.1057/s41253-018-0059-8

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Including all 104 items in the graph would lead to cluttered plots. We have thus chosen two approaches to map the items in a way that allow for an interpretation of the dimensionalities (König and Waldvogel 2018). First, the items with the highest explanatory power (explained variance) for each topic were projected into the configuration (Figure 4A).…”

Section: Figure 3: Mds With Bootstrapping By Partisan Groupsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of party identification in transnational election campaigns: Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament election

Waldvogel¹,

Wagschal²,

Metz³

et al. 2021

JCER

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Since the introduction of “Spitzenkandidaten” for the presidency of the European Commission, elections to the European Parliament have been characterised by the dynamic between an increasingly transnational election campaign and a national electoral process. However, the implementation of a European election campaign focusing on transnational top candidates remains controversial because it is still unclear to what extent nationally formed political predispositions such as party identification can serve as heuristics for assessing a transnational election campaign. Though TV duels as miniature campaigns directly open up this antagonism, research at the European level remains limited. Drawing on data from a field study consisting of virtualised real-time-response measurement and survey data of 157 participants, we show that expressive party identification as a heuristic is considerably constrained in transnational debates’ reception, while being complemented by instrumental aspects such as candidate orientations and ideological attitudes.

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Section: Figure 3: Mds With Bootstrapping By Partisan Groupsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of party identification in transnational election campaigns: Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament election

Waldvogel¹,

Wagschal²,

Metz³

et al. 2021

JCER

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…), strong support for European integration, and progressive positions on socio-cultural issues (Evans and Ivaldi, 2018). In sum, he took a liberal position on both the economic and socio-cultural dimension, that was clearly distinct from both left-wing and right-wing candidates (König and Waldvogel, 2018). His standing in the polls increased steadily during the campaign.…”

Section: Background On the 2017 French Presidential Electionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, Macron combined different elements of the traditional issue orientations of mainstream left-wing and right-wing parties. Similar to other challenger parties in Europe, he combines economic liberalism (in the European sense) with a cosmopolitan orientation (De Sio and Lachat, 2020; König and Waldvogel, 2018). As the latter is similar to the social liberalism advocated by the French Socialists (De Sio and Lachat, 2020), we expect Macron’s support among former Socialist voters to come mainly from those who have more centrist or liberal economic preferences.…”

Section: Background On the 2017 French Presidential Electionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Policy Preferences Influence Vote Choice When A New Party Emerges: Evidence from the 2017 French Presidential Election

Guntermann

Lachat

2021

Political Studies

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A common explanation for electoral victories is that the winning candidate adopted issue positions that appealed to voters, implying that citizens’ choices are based on policy preferences. However, it is not straightforward to determine the causal direction between citizens’ issue preferences and their party choice. An alternative possibility, strongly supported by prior research, is that voters adopt the positions of the parties they vote for to rationalize their votes. The 2017 French presidential election offers a unique opportunity to address that question, as it saw the victory of a candidate who was not backed by one of the established parties. Using panel data, we show that policy preferences measured prior to Macron’s emergence as a candidate led voters with a particular bundle of preferences to support him. We conclude that policy preferences clearly do matter to vote choice and that this effect is most visible when a new party emerges.

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Retelling the Story of the 2017 French Presidential Election: The contribution of Approval Voting

Baujard

Lebon²

2022

Homo Oecon

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This paper proposes an alternative reading of the politics of the 2017 French presidential election, using an unstudied source of information on voters' preferences: experimental data on approval voting. We provide a new narrative of the election process and outcome. The principal approach for understanding the political context has for many decades been a distinction between left and right-wing political forces. We introduce a method for generating an endogenous political axis, and construct three indices so that we might understand how and why the conventional approach has become progressively irrelevant. We find no gender effect, but instead an age effect. Voters, especially those who belong to generations at the beginning or the end of their working life, use their vote in national elections to support radical change; and the younger the voters, the less they conform to a left-right axis. However, this desire for change does not represent a rejection of existing parties, as the official results would suggest. Rather, the approval results suggest an erosion in the voters' minds of barriers between distinct political camps, and between traditional and populist parties.

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Ni gauche ni droite? Positioning the candidates in the 2017 French presidential election

Cited by 5 publications

References 37 publications

Assessing the impact of party identification in transnational election campaigns: Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament election

Assessing the impact of party identification in transnational election campaigns: Evidence from the 2019 European Parliament election

Policy Preferences Influence Vote Choice When A New Party Emerges: Evidence from the 2017 French Presidential Election

Retelling the Story of the 2017 French Presidential Election: The contribution of Approval Voting

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