Abstract:In this research, the time series were analysed for four gauges (Mosul, Baghdad, Kut, and Husayabah) using autoregressive (AR) models with constant and periodic autoregressive coefficients. It was found that the best model for Mosul, Baghdad, and Husaybah gauges is AR (2) with periodic autoregressive coefficients, while the best model for the Kut gauge was AR (2) with constant autoregressive coefficients. The test was also suggested to determine the most appropriate model based on the values of autocorrelation… Show more
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