Neue Wege – gleiche Chancen. Kurzfassung des Sachverständigengutachtens zum Ersten Gleichstellungsbericht der Bundesregierung

Klammer, Ute; Bösch, Gerhard; Helfferich, Cornelia; Meier-Gräwe, Uta; Nolte, Paul; Schuler-Harms, Margarete; Stangel-Meseke, Martina

doi:10.1007/978-3-531-94057-1_2

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The shares of Family work (between 17% and 20%) and SES Other (between 11% and 21%) are correspondingly high. Greater heterogeneity and discontinuity of individual life courses which are well documented for West German women compared to their male counterparts translate into higher diversity on the aggregate level as well (Klammer, Bosch, Helfferich et al 2011).…”

Section: Aggregate Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spot On or Way Off? Validating Results of the AVID Microsimulation Model Retrospectively

Frommert¹

2014

IJM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

A well-known challenge for developers and users of dynamic microsimulation models is the question of credibility, the so-called black box problem. Several strategies have been proposed to validate models. They typically involve comparing the results of a simulation run to other suitable figures. This paper approaches the issue after a considerable time lag and uses empirical data for a retrospective comparison. The validation is concerned with the German AVID model, or more precisely, with the basic employment histories module of the model. The model uses survey data and process-generated data on app. 12 000 Germans to project future employment histories and future old age incomes. After seven years the original respondents were surveyed again so that it is possible to compare their simulated and empirical employment histories. Several aspects regarding desired properties of the simulation results and the characteristics of employment histories are discussed. They include global indicators like cross-sections on the aggregate level, cumulative values on the individual level, and structural indicators on the individual level. The results of the comparison are generally encouraging. On the aggregate and cumulative level there is a very good resemblance. Substantial deviations are only found on the individual, structural level: The empirical employment histories are much more continuous than the simulated ones. This overestimation of complexity can be explained by the developments in the time period used for the estimation of the model parameters, but it still leads to a general underestimation of social inequality in the simulation results.

show abstract

Section: Aggregate Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spot On or Way Off? Validating Results of the AVID Microsimulation Model Retrospectively

Frommert¹

2014

IJM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Das Selbst der Selbstverwaltung: Sozialpartner-Mitverantwortung für Arbeitsmarkt und Arbeitslosenversicherung

Welskop-Deffaa

2016

Den Arbeitsmarkt Verstehen, Um Ihn Zu Gestalten

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Konsum, Ernährung und Gesundheit als zentrale Handlungsfelder für die alltägliche Lebensführung

Schlegel-Matthies¹

2018

HiBiFo

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Neue Wege – gleiche Chancen. Kurzfassung des Sachverständigengutachtens zum Ersten Gleichstellungsbericht der Bundesregierung

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

Spot On or Way Off? Validating Results of the AVID Microsimulation Model Retrospectively

Spot On or Way Off? Validating Results of the AVID Microsimulation Model Retrospectively

Das Selbst der Selbstverwaltung: Sozialpartner-Mitverantwortung für Arbeitsmarkt und Arbeitslosenversicherung

Konsum, Ernährung und Gesundheit als zentrale Handlungsfelder für die alltägliche Lebensführung

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About