Needs forecast and fund allocation of medical specialty positions in Emilia-Romagna (Italy) by system dynamics and integer programming

Lodi, Andrea; Tubertini, Paolo; Grilli, Roberto; Mazzocchetti, Angelina; Ruozi, Corrado; Senese, Francesca

doi:10.1057/hs.2015.11

Cited by 10 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…One of the main research areas of healthcare is workforce demand. The objectives of the selected papers on workforce demand are planning and predicting the number of workforces, including medical specialists [ 65 , 66 ], the pediatric workforce [ 67 ], the cardiac surgery workforce [ 68 ], dentists [ 69 ], the ophthalmologist workforce [ 70 ], the radiology specialization workforce [ 71 ], physicians [ 72 , 73 ], registered nurses [ 74 ], and physical therapists [ 75 ]. Interestingly, the average simulation time among the selected papers in this area is 24.5 years, which is higher than that for previous research areas of healthcare.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A System Dynamics Simulation Applied to Healthcare: A Systematic Review

Davahli

Karwowski

Taı̈ar

2020

IJERPH

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In recent years, there has been significant interest in developing system dynamics simulation models to analyze complex healthcare problems. However, there is a lack of studies seeking to summarize the available papers in healthcare and present evidence on the effectiveness of system dynamics simulation in this area. The present paper draws on a systematic selection of published literature from 2000 to 2019, in order to form a comprehensive view of current applications of system dynamics methodology that address complex healthcare issues. The results indicate that the application of system dynamics has attracted significant attention from healthcare researchers since 2013. To date, articles on system dynamics have focused on a variety of healthcare topics. The most popular research areas among the reviewed papers included the topics of patient flow, obesity, workforce demand, and HIV/AIDS. Finally, the quality of the included papers was assessed based on a proposed ranking system, and ways to improve the system dynamics models’ quality were discussed.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A System Dynamics Simulation Applied to Healthcare: A Systematic Review

Davahli

Karwowski

Taı̈ar

2020

IJERPH

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“…Reference Straightforward models [23,30,43,48,49,57,62,66] Regression methods (linear regression, autoregressive models, multivariate reg. model) [18,22,25,27,28,32,35,41,46,53,58,61,63,64,67,68,70] Simulation-based methods System dynamics [20,21,26,33,36,39,42,44,45,47…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Experts' consultation is key for estimating HRH demand 67 , especially when it comes to accessing the staff standards that meet the population's needs and defining plausible scenarios. Fifteen studies carried out this component through either focus groups, Delphi panels, or interviews 14,16,19,23,24,32,41,42,45,49,53,55,56 . Typically, experts were individuals with different backgrounds, such as HRH, academic researchers, or management personnel.…”

Section: Social Componentmentioning

confidence: 99%

The health workforce demand: a systematic literature review

Lopes

Ramos

Castro

2021

Ciênc. saúde coletiva

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Understanding imbalances between the supply and demand of the human resour- ces for health (HRH) is essential for enhancing health outcomes. Addressing the HRH demand is particularly challenging, especially given the deficit of accurate data and surplus of unresolved methodological flaws. This study presents a systematic review of the literature surrounding HRH demand and answers the following key questions: How has HRH demand been addressed? What are the harms and barriers that accompany HRH demand modeling? This systematic review was performed following the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses) statement. Relevant keywords were used in a thorough search of the PubMed/MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases. A total of 2,599 papers were retrieved and evaluated according to their title and abstract. Of these, the full-text of 400 papers was analyzed, 53 of which successfully met the inclusion criteria in our study. While the topic’s relevance is widespread, it still lacks a validated approach to model HRH demand adequately. The main characteristics of the applied methods are presented, such as their application complexity by health policymakers. Opportunities and orientations for further research are also highlighted.

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“…Additionally, successful implementation of these solutions in health care requires participatory methodologies (Holm et al, 2013 ; Witteman & Stahl, 2013 ). Thus, while this study offers a non-clinical approach, it invokes a multi-disciplinary planning (Leeftink et al, 2020 ; Lodi et al, 2016 ) and preventive application in health care.…”

Section: Relevant Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Daily food planning for families under Covid-19: combining analytic hierarchy processes and linear optimisation

2022

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In many households, preparation of food in normal times proves to be problematic, particularly when parents endeavour to keep their children on a balanced diet. The COVID-19 pandemic has further exacerbated this problem imposing the requirement of social distancing, which led to disruptions in the food supply chain and multiplication of responsibilities faced by families with children. The present study revisits the standard “Diet Problem” to address these challenges and to develop a participatory approach to provide a diversified weekly meal plan that is easy and fun but simultaneously complies with the unique requirements of each participant. This is done by providing a novel framework, which combines linear optimisation with the Parsimonious Analytic Hierarchy Process, a method for individual choices. This novel approach to participatory modelling is tested within two young family settings in Brazil. The model produced through this contemporary framework provides a weekly menu that best meets expectations of the members of a young family in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Needs forecast and fund allocation of medical specialty positions in Emilia-Romagna (Italy) by system dynamics and integer programming

Cited by 10 publications

References 14 publications

A System Dynamics Simulation Applied to Healthcare: A Systematic Review

A System Dynamics Simulation Applied to Healthcare: A Systematic Review

The health workforce demand: a systematic literature review

Daily food planning for families under Covid-19: combining analytic hierarchy processes and linear optimisation

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