Navigating Energy Efficiency: A Multifaceted Interpretability of Fuel Oil Consumption Prediction in Cargo Container Vessel Considering the Operational and Environmental Factors
Melia Putri Handayani,
Hyunju Kim,
Sangbong Lee
et al.
Abstract:In the maritime industry, optimizing vessel fuel oil consumption is crucial for improving energy efficiency and reducing shipping emissions. However, effectively utilizing operational data to advance performance monitoring and optimization remains a challenge. An XGBoost Regressor model was developed using a comprehensive dataset, delivering strong predictive performance (R2 = 0.95, MAE = 10.78 kg/h). This predictive model considers operational (controllable) and environmental (uncontrollable) variables, offer… Show more
“…As a crucial industry for economic development, the shipping industry is responsible for transporting over 90% of global trade cargo [1,2]. The performance of ship motion control systems directly impacts shipping safety and economic costs.…”
This paper investigates the problem of real-time parameter identification for ship maneuvering parameters and wave peak frequency in an ocean environment. Based on the idea of Euler discretion, a combined model of ship maneuvering and wave peak frequency (ship–wave) is made a discretion, and a discrete-time auto-regressive moving-average model with exogenous input (ARMAX) is derived for parameter identification. Based on the ideas of stochastic gradient identification and multi-innovation theory, a multi-innovation stochastic gradient (MI-SG) algorithm is derived for parameter identification of the ship–wave discretion model. Maximum likelihood theory is introduced to propose a maximum likelihood-based multi-innovation stochastic gradient (ML-MI-SG) algorithm. Compared to the MI-SG algorithm, the ML-MI-SG algorithm shows improvements in both parameter identification accuracy and identification convergence speed. Simulation results verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
“…As a crucial industry for economic development, the shipping industry is responsible for transporting over 90% of global trade cargo [1,2]. The performance of ship motion control systems directly impacts shipping safety and economic costs.…”
This paper investigates the problem of real-time parameter identification for ship maneuvering parameters and wave peak frequency in an ocean environment. Based on the idea of Euler discretion, a combined model of ship maneuvering and wave peak frequency (ship–wave) is made a discretion, and a discrete-time auto-regressive moving-average model with exogenous input (ARMAX) is derived for parameter identification. Based on the ideas of stochastic gradient identification and multi-innovation theory, a multi-innovation stochastic gradient (MI-SG) algorithm is derived for parameter identification of the ship–wave discretion model. Maximum likelihood theory is introduced to propose a maximum likelihood-based multi-innovation stochastic gradient (ML-MI-SG) algorithm. Compared to the MI-SG algorithm, the ML-MI-SG algorithm shows improvements in both parameter identification accuracy and identification convergence speed. Simulation results verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
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