Natural variability or climate change? Stakeholder and citizen perceptions of extreme event attribution

Osaka, Shannon; Bellamy, Rob

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102070

Cited by 45 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 66 publications

(92 reference statements)

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“…Initiatives such as World Weather Attribution ( 2020 ) provide analysis rapidly in the wake of extreme weather events, demonstrating the role of climate change as people are experiencing them. Attribution studies have been cited as revealing the immediacy and concreteness of climate impacts (Osaka and Bellamy 2020 ). However, focus group experiments suggest that where the messaging around the link between extreme weather events and climate change is ambiguous, citizens are entrenched in pre-existing views and might resort to motivated reasoning (ibid.).…”

Section: Lesson 2: Find Ways To Get Citizens On Boardmentioning

confidence: 99%

Five Lessons from COVID-19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation

Klenert

Funke

Mattauch

et al. 2020

Environ Resource Econ

149

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The nexus of COVID-19 and climate change has so far brought attention to short-term greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions, public health responses, and clean recovery stimulus packages. We take a more holistic approach, making five broad comparisons between the crises with five associated lessons for climate change mitigation policy. First, delay is costly. Second, policy design must overcome biases to human judgment. Third, inequality can be exacerbated without timely action. Fourth, global problems require multiple forms of international cooperation. Fifth, transparency of normative positions is needed to navigate value judgments at the science-policy interface. Learning from policy challenges during the COVID-19 crisis could enhance efforts to reduce GHG emissions and prepare humanity for future crises.

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Section: Lesson 2: Find Ways To Get Citizens On Boardmentioning

confidence: 99%

Five Lessons from COVID-19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation

Klenert

Funke

Mattauch

et al. 2020

Environ Resource Econ

149

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…36 D&A studies reveal the immediacy and concreteness of climate impacts. 37 Extending attribution to human health increases understanding of climate change impacts and may lead to new opportunities to communicate with policy makers and the public.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using Detection And Attribution To Quantify How Climate Change Is Affecting Health

et al. 2020

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The question of whether, how, and to what extent climate change is affecting health is central to many climate and health studies. We describe a set of formal methods, termed detection and attribution, used by climatologists to determine whether a climate trend or extreme event has changed and to estimate the extent to which climate change influenced that change. We discuss events where changing weather patterns were attributed to climate change and extend these analyses to include health impacts from heat waves in 2018 and 2019 in Europe and Japan, and we show how such impact attribution could be applied to melting ice roads in the Arctic. Documenting the causal chain from emissions of greenhouse gases to observed human health outcomes is important input into risk assessments that prioritize health system preparedness and response interventions and into financial investments and communication about potential risk to policy makers and to the public.

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“…Although many factors have contributed to these weather events, scientists agree that climate change generally leads to, and will continue to lead to, more frequent, severe, and damaging extreme event. Since vulnerability is the determining factor in the impact of disasters, we argue that humanity's development models have also contributed significantly to the disasters that have occurred [13]. The increase in the socio-economic aspects of disasters shows a 3% increase in the numbers, with a direct impact on vulnerable communities.…”

Section: Natural and Environmental Disastersmentioning

confidence: 94%

Environmental migration and sustainable development of regions and countries

Reznikova

Danilina

2021

E3S Web Conf.

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Our paper focuses on studying the development and implementation of a comprehensive environmental safety assessment and mitigation strategy for countries of origin and destination of environmental migration. Environmental migration represents one of the key threats to the security of regions and countries and is linked to their sustainable development (or lack thereof). Moreover, it is also connected to many important social, economic as well as demographic outcomes. Global warming caused by human activities is already having a major impact on the planet and is likely to render parts of the world uninhabitable, leading to migration, displacement, and planned resettlement. The goal of the paper is also to assess the impact of future migration due to the global warming and climate change. The results of the paper demonstrate that climate impacts can trigger migration and change population distribution within the next few decades. It is also clear that migration caused by the environmental factors (such as droughts, floods, higher temperature sand more extreme weather events) would inevitably lead to the geopolitical changes with long-range impacts and effects.

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Natural variability or climate change? Stakeholder and citizen perceptions of extreme event attribution

Cited by 45 publications

References 66 publications

Five Lessons from COVID-19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation

Five Lessons from COVID-19 for Advancing Climate Change Mitigation

Using Detection And Attribution To Quantify How Climate Change Is Affecting Health

Environmental migration and sustainable development of regions and countries

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