2018
DOI: 10.1164/rccm.201710-2029oc
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Natural History of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations in a General Practice–based Population with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Abstract: A large proportion of patients with COPD do not exacerbate over a maximum 10 years of follow-up. AECOPD frequency in a single year predicts long-term AECOPD rate. Increasing frequency and severity of AECOPDs is associated with risk of death and highlights the importance of preventing AECOPDs.

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Cited by 142 publications
(157 citation statements)
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“…The global burden of COPD is high and appears to be increasing [2]. Importantly, as part of the natural course of the disease, a significant proportion of patients will experience an AECOPD [26]. A key finding from the landmark Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study was that, during 3-year follow-up, 31% of patients experienced at least one AECOPD requiring hospital admission [27].…”
Section: Accepted Manuscriptmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The global burden of COPD is high and appears to be increasing [2]. Importantly, as part of the natural course of the disease, a significant proportion of patients will experience an AECOPD [26]. A key finding from the landmark Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study was that, during 3-year follow-up, 31% of patients experienced at least one AECOPD requiring hospital admission [27].…”
Section: Accepted Manuscriptmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, despite the benefits of inhaled pharmacologic treatments for COPD, a significant number of patients have persistent symptom and exacerbation burden (classified as GOLD Group "D"). Development of a therapeutic procedure that could reduce the risk for future exacerbation is an important research objective [5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Rothnie and colleagues recently show that almost 52% of COPD patients do not exacerbate in the first year of follow up and that a 26% do not exacerbate during a 10 years follow up. Treating these patients with medications that only prove their efficacy on exacerbation rate would not be relevant, but it remains difficult if not impossible to predict the risk of exacerbation accurately on an individual basis [21].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%