Natural and technology-related risks of environmental management in the coastal eco-socio-economic systems of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation

Abstract

Subject. This article analyzes the risks of natural and man-made origin induced in environmental management in the coastal system of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation in the face of global climate change and ever-increasing anthropogenic impacts. Objectives. The article aims to classify the risks of Arctic coastal nature management, and determine their sources and factors of origin. Results. The article presents a phased system of risk structuring as a process of causing harm that is likely to be implemented. It identifies classification criteria and specific forms of structural elements of risk, and conducts an expert assessment of these relationships. Relevance. The results obtained help identify key elements of various scenarios of risk occurrence in the Russian Arctic coastal nature management, including the risk of cascading disasters.