Municipal Vulnerability to Climate Change and Climate Related Events in Mexico

Borja-Vega, Christian; Fuente, Alejandro de la

doi:10.1596/1813-9450-6417

Cited by 15 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Remote locations are more disconnected and less accessible. The data suggest a wide variation in municipality vulnerability, and this is quite common in coastal areas in Mexico due to the relatively high exposure of these municipalities to hurricanes and ensuing flood risk [25,26].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Vulnerability and Risk Factors due to Tropical Cyclones in Coastal Cities of Baja California Sur, Mexico

Marín-Monroy

Hernández-Trejo

Romero-Vadillo

et al. 2020

Climate

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Coastal cities have seen an unprecedented growth with regional settlements due to development activities; that is why measures are needed to mitigate risk of adverse events such as tropical cyclones. Baja California Sur, a state known as a relevant ecological and tourist region, includes destinations such as Cabo San Lucas and La Paz, impacted yearly by tropical cyclones, so it is important to design contingency plans and provide available information to the residents. Los Cabos municipality has the highest population growth rate and its inhabitants are more susceptible to adverse events; despite this, there were no indicators of social and ecological vulnerability to risk effects of tropical cyclones. The objective of this research is to calculate the socio-environmental vulnerability of households through an index to identify risk factors. We have obtained a classification according to levels of vulnerability, and the results have shown that 74% of the households are high on the vulnerability scale, 21% of households are moderately vulnerable and only the remaining 5% of households are less vulnerable. In conclusion, the devastating effects of hydrometeorological events were mainly due to a lack of knowledge regarding such events among inhabitants.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Vulnerability and Risk Factors due to Tropical Cyclones in Coastal Cities of Baja California Sur, Mexico

Marín-Monroy

Hernández-Trejo

Romero-Vadillo

et al. 2020

Climate

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“…Furthermore, it includes the incidence of a drought shock experienced by the household during the past year and during 2013, which captures the risk of economic losses and thus the risk of inability to Filmer and Pritchett, 2001). Similarly, PCA has been used to generate resilience and vulnerability indices in various studies (Asmamaw et al, 2019;Borja-Vega and La Fuente, 2013). For generating our composite risk index, we utilized the first principal component of the full set of 28 binary variables representing the incidence of the most frequent production risks.…”

Section: Empirical Strategy and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Filmer and Pritchett, 2001). Similarly, PCA has been used to generate resilience and vulnerability indices in various studies (Asmamaw et al. , 2019; Borja-Vega and La Fuente, 2013).…”

Section: Empirical Strategy and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of risk rationing in rural credit demand and uptake: lessons from Kyrgyzstan

Kuhn

Bobojonov

2021

AFR

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PurposeLack of access to credit is commonly held responsible for slow agricultural and rural development in low- and middle-income countries. This paper aims to investigate the contribution of demand- and supply-side factors, particularly the role of risk rationing, on credit application and uptake in the case example of Kyrgyzstan.Design/methodology/approachToward this aim, the study explores the determinants of credit behavior of 1,738 Kyrgyz sample farm households from 2013 to 2016 waves of the nationally representative “Life in Kyrgyzstan” (LIK) dataset along a hierarchical regression model, differentiating between factors influencing individual demand for credit and factors influencing supply for credit.FindingsThe results of our analysis indicate the relative importance of demand-side factors for credit applications, reflecting farmers' perceived risk of credit default and loss of collateral. Meanwhile, supply-side factors, such as real credit constraints and collateral requests, have a stronger influence on credit uptake rates and overall loan sums. These findings highlight the role of risk rationing for agricultural investment, suggesting a stronger focus of development policy on improving risk-sharing mechanisms for farmers, e.g. by developing the agricultural insurance sector.Originality/valueThe paper contributes novel evidence on the role of risk rationing in shaping the demand for formal credits for increasing agricultural and rural investment in low-income transition economies. Previous research has mostly focused on the role of credit supply, thus underrating the potential contribution of individual risk attitude, risk experience and risk sharing.

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“…For example, a recent methodology to calculate drought vulnerability (one of the most significant threats in the country) using socioeconomic and environmental indicators has been presented [21]. Likewise, a climate change vulnerability index in agriculture using a multidimensional approach to vulnerability (i.e., through the computation of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptative capacity) has been published using a series of indicators and historical and future-climate data [22]. The vulnerability to intense rainfall using land cover and use changes, terrain slope, and basin compactness has also been assessed [23].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial and Temporal Changes in Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Mexico

León-Cruz,

Romero,

Rodríguez-García

2023

Preprint

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The spatial and temporal changes in social vulnerability to natural hazards in Mexico are analyzed. To this end, using census data from 2000, 2010, and 2020 and a statistical method, different indices were computed, and with a GIS-based approach, patterns of social vulnerability are examined. In addition, a risk assessment test for severe weather (thunderstorms, hailstorms, and tornadoes) is made out. The results show different common social vulnerability driving factors in the three analyzed years, with root causes that have not been addressed since the beginning of the century. Likewise, a wider gap between Mexico's most and least vulnerable populations is identified. The changes in spatial patterns respond to different historical situations, such as migration, urbanization, and increased population. Also, poverty, ethnicity, and marginalization factors located in very particular regions in Mexico have remained relatively the same in the last few years. These situations have strongly influenced the spatial-temporal distribution of vulnerability in the country. The role of social vulnerability in the disaster risk to extreme events such as thunderstorms, hailstorms, and tornadoes in Mexico is fundamental to understanding changes in disaster distribution at the national level, and it is the first step to generating improvements in integrated risk management.

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Municipal Vulnerability to Climate Change and Climate Related Events in Mexico

Cited by 15 publications

References 33 publications

Vulnerability and Risk Factors due to Tropical Cyclones in Coastal Cities of Baja California Sur, Mexico

Vulnerability and Risk Factors due to Tropical Cyclones in Coastal Cities of Baja California Sur, Mexico

The role of risk rationing in rural credit demand and uptake: lessons from Kyrgyzstan

Spatial and Temporal Changes in Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Mexico

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