MTTEGDM: A Moving Target Evolutionary Game Defense Model Based on Three-Way Decisions

Abstract

Aiming at the fact that the moving target defense game model fails to accurately portray attack and defense gains, resulting in bias in attack and defense games and the inability to select effective defense strategies, we construct the moving target three-way evolutionary game defense model (MTTEGDM). Firstly, the model is defined and analyzed theoretically under the premise of uncertainty and irrationality. Then, combined with the three-way decisions, the attack intention is introduced into the target network loss calculation, and a dynamic weight adjustment algorithm based on the three-way decisions is proposed to accurately characterize the attack and defense gains from a multi-attribute perspective. Finally, the evolutionary game model is used to analyze the evolution trend of the multi-stage defense strategy, so as to carry out feasible and effective defense behavior. The simulation results show that the model can accurately predict the optimal defense strategy of moving targets in different stages. Through a Monte Carlo simulation experiment, the proposed algorithm is compared with the traditional evolutionary game model, and the effectiveness and security of the proposed algorithm are verified.