Mozambique

Arndt, Channing; Jones, Edward; Tarp, Finn

doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744795.003.0009

Cited by 6 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Up to 2008/09, households were only interviewed once during the year, and even though the 1996/97, 2002/03, and 2008/09 surveys were designed so that each quarter was representative for the whole population, the sample in each quarter was too small to provide precise information about poverty dynamics (DEEF 2016). 2 The fact that the 2014/15 survey was designed as an intrayear household panel survey helped to take into account the intra-year variability in household consumption and poverty, which is significant in Mozambique due to both the high percentage of people working in subsistence agriculture and the recurrent natural shocks that hit the country (Arndt et al 2012(Arndt et al , 2016(Arndt et al , 2018DEEF 2016;DNEAP 2010;DNPO 1998DNPO , 2004INE 2004INE , 2010INE , 2015. Given that 2014/15 is considered to be a normal year (DEEF 2016), this provides the opportunity to study in more depth the intra-year poverty dynamics.…”

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confidence: 99%

“…For an analysis of intra-year dynamics using the Mozambican household budget survey 2008/09 and exploiting the characteristic that these surveys are designed so that each quarter is representative for the whole population, seeArndt et al (2016). Instead,Salvucci and Santos (2020) exploit the panel structure of the Mozambican household budget survey 2014/15 to assess the short-term impact on consumption and poverty of the 2015 flood in Mozambique.…”

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Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data

Salvucci¹,

Tarp²

2021

WIDER Working Paper

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In this paper we first validate the use of the synthetic panels technique in the context of the 2014/15 intra-year panel survey data for Mozambique, and then apply the same technique to the 1996/97, 2002/03, 2008/09, and 2014/15 cross-sectional household budget surveys for the same country. We find that in most analyses poverty rates and poverty transitions estimated using synthetic panels provide results that are close to the true values obtained using the 2014/15 panel data. With respect to intra-year poverty dynamics, we find that Mozambique has a high intra-year variability in consumption and poverty, and a very high degree of intra-year poverty immobility, with a big portion of the population remaining either in poverty or out of poverty over the whole year, with smaller percentages of individuals moving upward or downward. With respect to the 1996/97, 2002/03, 2008/09, and 2014/15 cross-sectional surveys, our results suggest that in most year-to-year comparisons there is a greater proportion of people getting out of poverty than falling into poverty, consistent with the poverty-reduction process observed, but the percentage of people staying in poverty over time appears to be substantially higher, involving about one-third of the population in most years. Further analyses on the 2008/09 and 2014/15 surveys estimate that for an individual who was in the vulnerable group in 2008/09, there is a 60 per cent probability of remaining in the same group, whereas the probability of becoming non-vulnerable is lower than the probability of entering poverty. This constitutes the first attempt to provide an insight into poverty dynamics in Mozambique using all the available survey data.

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Section: Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

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confidence: 99%

Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data

Salvucci¹,

Tarp²

2021

WIDER Working Paper

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Regional Experiences: Africa, Asia, Latin America and Others

Hipsher¹

2020

Wealth Creation Approach to Reducing Global Poverty

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Evolution of Multidimensional Poverty in Crisis-Ridden Mozambique

2023

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Mozambique experienced important reductions in the poverty rate until recently, before two major natural disasters hit, an armed insurgency stroke in the northern province of Cabo Delgado, and the country started suffering from a hidden debt crisis with associated economic slowdown. As the last available national household expenditure survey is from 2014/15, just before these crises started unfolding, there is need for a poverty assessment based on alternative data sources. We study the evolution of multidimensional poverty in Mozambique using survey data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). Using both the standard Alkire–Foster multidimensional poverty index and the first-order dominance (FOD) method, we find that the multidimensional poverty reduction trend observed between 2009–11 and 2015 halted between 2015 and 2018. Meanwhile, the number of poor people increased, mainly in rural areas and in the central provinces. Importantly, the poorest provinces did not improve their rankings over time, and between 2015 and 2018, no progress took place for most areas and provinces, as measured by the FOD approach.

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Mozambique

Cited by 6 publications

References 2 publications

Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data

Estimating poverty transitions in Mozambique using synthetic panels: A validation exercise and an application to cross-sectional survey data

Regional Experiences: Africa, Asia, Latin America and Others

Evolution of Multidimensional Poverty in Crisis-Ridden Mozambique

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