Moving north in China: The habitat of Pedicularis kansuensis in the context of climate change

Wang, Dan; Cui, Bochao; Duan, Susu; Chen, Ji‐Jun; Fan, Hong; Lu, Binbin; Zheng, Jianhua

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133979

Cited by 40 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 66 publications

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“…These models are based on RCP scenarios (Sect. 2.1 ) driving future climate change, and suggest that the range of some native species from open, dry habitats will expand to higher elevations [ 75 , 130 – 134 ], while the ranges of willows and other related species from wetter habitats will shrink [ 129 ].…”

Section: Terrestrial Ecosystems and Biodiversitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2020

Neale

Barnes

Robson

et al. 2021

Photochem Photobiol Sci

118

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This assessment by the Environmental Effects Assessment Panel (EEAP) of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) provides the latest scientific update since our most recent comprehensive assessment (Photochemical and Photobiological Sciences, 2019, 18, 595–828). The interactive effects between the stratospheric ozone layer, solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation, and climate change are presented within the framework of the Montreal Protocol and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. We address how these global environmental changes affect the atmosphere and air quality; human health; terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems; biogeochemical cycles; and materials used in outdoor construction, solar energy technologies, and fabrics. In many cases, there is a growing influence from changes in seasonality and extreme events due to climate change. Additionally, we assess the transmission and environmental effects of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which is responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, in the context of linkages with solar UV radiation and the Montreal Protocol.

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Section: Terrestrial Ecosystems and Biodiversitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2020

Neale

Barnes

Robson

et al. 2021

Photochem Photobiol Sci

118

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…The Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC estimated that average global temperatures will have increased by 0.3-4.8 • C by the end of the 21st century [8]. This may profoundly influence the species distribution in temperate forests [10]. Shifts in suitable habitats may provide chances for species to adapt to predicted future climate change.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the last few decades, rising temperatures have shifted the latitudinal and altitudinal ranges of many species, especially those distributed in alpine areas [7,8]. Thus, determining the effects of climate changes on the distribution of organisms is fundamental for understanding the conservation of biodiversity [9][10][11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of the Suitable Area of the Chinese White Pines (Pinus subsect. Strobus) under Climate Changes and Implications for Their Conservation

Lin

Xie

Cui

2020

Forests

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White pines (Pinus subsect. Strobus) play important roles in forest ecosystems in the Northern Hemisphere. Species of this group are narrowly distributed or endangered in China. In this study, we used a species distribution model (SDM) to project and predict the distribution patterns of the 12 species of Chinese white pine under a variety of paleoclimatic and future climate change scenarios based on 39 high-resolution environmental variables and 1459 distribution records. We also computed the centroid shift, range expansion/contraction, and suitability change of the current distribution area to assess the potential risk to each species in the future. The modeling results revealed that the suitable habitat of each species is consistent with but slightly larger than its actual distribution range and that temperature, precipitation, and UV radiation are important determining factors for the distribution of different white pine species. The results indicate that the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) greatly affected the current distribution of the Chinese white pine species. Additionally, it was predicted that under the future climate change scenarios, there will be a reduction in the area of habitats suitable for P. armandii, P. morrisonicola, and P. mastersiana. Furthermore, some of the current distribution sites of P. armandii, P. kwangtungensis, P. mastersiana, P. morrisonicola, P. sibirica, and P. wallichiana were predicted to become more unsuitable under these scenarios. These results indicate that some Chinese white pine species, such as P. armandii, P. morrisonicola, and P. mastersiana, may have a very high risk of population shrinkage in the future. Overall, this study provided relevant data for the long-term conservation (both in situ and ex situ) and sustainable management of Chinese white pine species.

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“…The maximum number of backgrounds points was set to 10,000, and the maximum iterations was set to 500, with a 10-fold cross validation [21][22][23]. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the accuracy of the model, and AUC values greater than 0.9 meant extremely high accurate [24]. In addition, the contributions of variables were determined by the jackknife analysis, and the optimal intervals of the variables were reflected by the response curves [25].…”

Section: Records Of Species Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the current and future distribution of four original plants of Gentianae Macrophyllae Radix in China under climate change scenarios

Cao

Liu

et al. 2021

Preprint

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The wild resources of the four original plants (Gentiana crasicaulis Duthie ex Burk, Gentiana daurica Fisch, Gentiana straminea Maxim, and Gentiana macrophylla Pall) of Gentianae Macrophyllae Radix are becoming exhausted. Predicting the distribution under current and future climate scenarios is of significance for the sustainable utilization of resources and ecological protection. In this study, we constructed four species distribution models (SDMs) combining species distribution informations, 19 bioclimatic variables, and the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The results showed that these 4 plants prefer a cool and humid climate. Under the future climate scenarios, the areas of the highly suitable habitats for Gentiana crasicaulis Duthie ex Burk and Gentiana daurica Fisch were likely to decrease, while Gentiana straminea Maxim was likely to expand, and Gentiana macrophylla Pall was less affected. In addition, the centroids of the highly suitable habitats for the four species shifted north or west. Most notably, most of the highly suitable habitats for the four species remained unchanged, which would be the preferred area for semi-artificial cultivation. The above information in this study would contribute to the development of reasonable strategies to reduce the impact of climate change on the four original plants.

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Moving north in China: The habitat of Pedicularis kansuensis in the context of climate change

Cited by 40 publications

References 66 publications

Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2020

Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2020

Prediction of the Suitable Area of the Chinese White Pines (Pinus subsect. Strobus) under Climate Changes and Implications for Their Conservation

Predicting the current and future distribution of four original plants of Gentianae Macrophyllae Radix in China under climate change scenarios

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