Mortality prediction of nonalcoholic patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding using data mining

Elrazek, Abd Elrazek M.A. Abd; Mahfouz, Hamdy; Metwally, Ammal M.; El-Shamy, Ahmed

doi:10.1097/meg.0b013e328365c3b0

Cited by 14 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…Less frequent causes of UGIB include hemophilia, hemosuccus pancreatitis, and aortoenteric fistula. 11 Given the high prevalence of viral hepatitis in Egypt, the usual load of emergency rooms and the urgent care that UGIB patients need, therefore, identifying high risk UGIB patients by data mining will save much need time, effort and will ultimately improve the patient care.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Value of U/S to Determine Priority for Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in Emergency Room

Elrazek¹,

Mahfouz

Elazeem

et al. 2015

Medicine

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In countries endemic for liver and GIT diseases, frequent emergency department (ED) patients contribute to a disproportionate number of visits consuming substantial amount of medical resources. One of the most frequent ED visits is patients who present with hypovolemic shock, abdominal pain, or confusion with or without signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). The use of conventional two-dimensional ultrasound (2D-U/S) may provide immediate and useful information on the presence of esophageal varices, gastrointestinal tumors, and other GIT abnormalities.The current study investigated the feasibility of using (2D-U/S) to predict the source of UGIB in ED and to determine patients’ priority for UGE.Between February 2003 and March 2013, we retrospectively reviewed the profiles of 38,551 Egyptian patients, aged 2 to 75 years old, who presented with a history of GI/liver diseases and no alcohol consumption. We assessed the value of 2D-U/S technology in predicting the source of UGIB.Of 38,551 patients presenting to ED, 900 patients (2.3%), 534 male (59.3%) and 366 female (40.7%) developed UGIB. Analyzing results obtained from U/S examinations by data mining for emergent UGE were patients with liver cirrhosis (LC), splenomegaly, and ascites (42.6% incidence of UGIB), followed by LC and splenomegaly (14.6%), LC only (9.4%), and was only 0.5% who had no morbidity finding by 2D-U/S.Ultrasonographic instrumentation increases the feasibility of predictive emergency medicine. The area has recently not only gained a fresh impulse, but also a new set of complex problems that needs to be addressed in the emergency medicine setting according to each priority.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Value of U/S to Determine Priority for Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in Emergency Room

Elrazek¹,

Mahfouz

Elazeem

et al. 2015

Medicine

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“…Data mining is the breakthrough in economy, biology, trading, business, astronomy and medicine [21][22][23]. Data mining can predict disease related-mortality and morbidity that will influence the overall medical progress [24][25][26]. In current research decision tree of Rapid I software program can detect the cut off point for ACS related -chronic Pylori infection at 1.4IU of IgG test, hence there was a good correlation between long duration of chronic chest pain and ACS due to Pylori, nevertheless values less than 1.4IU but still positive to IgG should be evaluated using age as a second predictor factor for ACS (Figure 1).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Association between Acute Coronary Syndrome and Helicobacter Pylori Chronic Infection? What data mining tells us?

Hussein¹

2017

AJCTS

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“…Furthermore, these data are stored in large sets on powerful computers owned by the companies we deal with every day that they understand our mind for purchase. The same goes for physicians and researchers who understand each disease behavior [24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31] .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ongoing transmission of HCV: Should cesarean section be justified? Data mining discovery

Elrazek

Saab

Foad

et al. 2017

Journal of Translational Internal Medicine

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Background and Objectives:Over the past few decades, cesarean section (CS) rates are steadily increasing in most of the middle-and high-income countries. However, most of the pregnant women (particularly undergoing CS) are not screened for hepatitis C virus (HCV); hence, neonates born to HCV-positive mother could be a source of future HCV infection. In this study, the role of the CS and other surgical interventions in HCV transmission in Egypt, the highest endemic country of HCV-4, was investigated. Methods: From January to June 2016, a prospective cohort study was conducted among 3,836 pregnant women in both urban and rural areas across Egypt for HCV screening in both mothers and neonates born to HCV-positive mother. All pregnant women were screened during third trimester or just before delivery, neonates born to HCV-positive mothers were evaluated within 24-h postdelivery to record vertical transmission cases. Data mining (DM)-driven computational analysis was used to quantify the findings. Results: Among 3,836 randomized pregnant women, HCV genotype 4 was identified in 80 women (2.08%). Out of 80 HCV-infected women, 18 have experienced surgical intervention (22.5%) and 62 CS (77.5%). HCV vertical transmission was identified in 10 neonates, 10/80 (12.5%). Conclusion: Screening women who had experienced surgical intervention or CS during child bearing period and before pregnancy might prevent HCV mother-to-child transmission (MTCT). CS should be ethically justified to decrease global HCV transmission.

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Mortality prediction of nonalcoholic patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding using data mining

Abstract: Chronic hepatitis C virus infection and NSAID-associated splenomegaly because of portal hypertension are significant predictors of mortality in nonalcoholic patients presenting with upper GI bleeding.

Cited by 14 publications

References 6 publications

The Value of U/S to Determine Priority for Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in Emergency Room

The Value of U/S to Determine Priority for Upper Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in Emergency Room

Association between Acute Coronary Syndrome and Helicobacter Pylori Chronic Infection? What data mining tells us?

Ongoing transmission of HCV: Should cesarean section be justified? Data mining discovery

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