PURPOSEThis study compared ecology (number of individuals using a service), utilization (number of services used), and expenditures (dollars spent) for various categories of medical services between primarily 1996-1997 and 2011-2012.
METHODSA repeated cross-sectional study was performed using nationally representative data mainly from the 1996, 1997, 2011. These data were augmented with the 2002-2003 MEPS as well as the 1999-2000 and 2011-2012 National Heath and Nutrition Examination Survey. Individuals (number per 1,000 people), utilization, and expenditures during an average month in 1996-1997 and 2011-2012 were determined for 15 categories of services.
RESULTSThe number of individuals who used various medical services was unchanged for many categories of services (total, outpatient, outpatient physician, users of prescribed medications, primary care and specialty physicians, inpatient hospitalization, and emergency department). It was, however, increased for others (optometry/podiatry, therapy, and alternative/complementary medicine) and decreased for a few (dental and home health). The number of services used (utilization) largely mirrored the findings for individual use, with the exception of an increase in the number of prescribed medications and a decrease in number of primary care physician visits. There were large increases in dollars spent (expenditures) in every category with the exception of primary care physician and home health; the largest absolute increases were in prescribed medications, specialty physicians, emergency department visits, and likely inpatient hospitalizations.CONCLUSIONS Although the number of individuals with visits during an average month and the total utilization of medical services were largely unchanged between the 2 time periods, total expenditures increased markedly. The increases in expenditure varied dramatically by category. Ann Fam Med 2017;15:313-321. https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.2084.
INTRODUCTIONT he "Ecology of Medical Care" was initially published in 1961 1 and laid a framework for evaluating medical care in the United States. To update the estimates and to examine trends over time, this model was reevaluated in 2001 (using 1996 data) and in 2016 (using 2012 data) using more robust and systematically collected data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS).2,3 Our 2016 study identified a stable proportion of individuals during an average month who sought medical care, even though the types of care individuals sought changed somewhat. 3 In contrast, medical expenditures have outpaced inflation and are notably higher than those in other developed countries on both a per capita and percent gross domestic product basis. 4 Unfortunately, these higher levels of expenditure do not correspond with better outcomes as the United States has among the worst outcomes when compared with similar nations.5 Previous studies have investigated how expenditures associated with medical care have changed over the past 50 years, 6 and more recent studies have shown that...