Mortality estimation from registered deaths in less developed countries

Bennett, Neil G.; Horiuchi, Shiro

doi:10.2307/2061041

Cited by 65 publications

(41 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…O método de Bennett e Horiuchi (1981;1984), conhecido como método das gerações extintas (SEG), usa taxas de crescimento específicas por idade para converter uma distribuição de óbitos por idade em uma distribuição etária de uma população. Em uma população estacionária, os óbitos observados a partir de determinada idade x são iguais à população de idade x. Assim, os óbitos de uma população acima da idade x fornecem uma estimativa da população de idade x.…”

Section: Métodosunclassified

“…As dificuldades que têm sido encontradas nas fontes de dados utilizadas estão relacionadas à incompleta cobertura do registro de óbitos e a erros na declaração da idade, tanto no registro de óbito quanto nos dados de população (UNITED NATIONS, 1983;PRESTON;ELO;STEWART, 1999;HILL;YOU;CHOI, 2009). Para contornar esses problemas, diferentes metodologias foram desenvolvidas para se mensurar a mortalidade adulta, usando métodos alternativos e diferentes fontes de dados sobre mortalidade, que oferecem um leque de alternativas para estimar a mortalidade na ausência de um registro civil de alta qualidade (BRASS, 1975;PRESTON et al, 1980;BENNETT;HORIUCHI, 1981;1984; O que os dados de mortalidade do Censo de 2010 podem nos dizer? Queiroz, B.L.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

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O que os dados de mortalidade do Censo de 2010 podem nos dizer?

Queiroz¹,

Sawyer²

2012

Rev. bras. estud. popul.

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Section: Métodosunclassified

Section: Introductionunclassified

O que os dados de mortalidade do Censo de 2010 podem nos dizer?

Queiroz¹,

Sawyer²

2012

Rev. bras. estud. popul.

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“…Alfred J. Lotka is generally credited with formulating the idea of a stable population and exploring many of its important features, including the finding that in the absence of migration, a population subject to constant fertility and mortality rates would eventually have a constant rate of natural increase [4,5]. Continuing the analytical tradition established by Lotka, many researchers have examined the idea of a stable population and refined its underlying theory and extended its applications [2,3,[6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14]. Most of this research has, however, been confined to examining a population not affected by migration.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring Stable Population Concepts from the Perspective of Cohort Change Ratios

Swanson

Tedrow²

2013

TODEMOJ

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Abstract. Cohort Change Ratios (CCRs) have a long history of use in demography. In spite of their history of use, they appear, however, to have been overlooked in regard to the major canon of formal demography, stable population theory. In this paper, CCRs are explored as a tool for examining the idea of a stable population. In comparing the approach using CCRs to the traditional analytical approach, benefits and drawbacks are noted. The paper also introduces an Index of Stability, which is used in a regression model to estimate the number of years before the population in question becomes (approximately) stable. The regression model works reasonably well and, as such, provides something not available in the traditional analytical approach, which is an estimate of the time to (approximate) stability for a given population.

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“…include those developed by Brass, Preston, Bennet and Horiuchi (131,199,(222)(223)(224)(225). The Brass "Growth Balance Method" assumes population stability, so that growth rate is constant with age.…”

Section: Direct Demographic Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Direct methods of estimating mortality from routine reporting have the advantage of timeliness, can better recognise differentials, and are better suited for providing estimates for infant and child mortality (127); although indirect methods are less expensive (199). As noted in this chapter, CoD can be obtained through medical certification, hospital discharge records, verbal autopsy, nursing reports or lay reports from family and other community representatives.…”

Section: Summary Of Data Collection Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mortality and cause of death in the Pacific

Carter¹

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Accurate data on mortality levels and causes of death is critical to assist governments to improve the health of their populations; by identifying priority areas for intervention, leveraging resources for such interventions, and to monitor the impact and effectiveness of health programs. To date, there has been little data available to agencies on mortality and causes of death in the Pacific Islands, and there is significant disparity in published estimates, with many considered implausible. Further, there are indications that improvements in life expectancy (LE) across the region have stagnated in contrast to previously published estimates, most likely as a consequence of premature adult mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs).In this research, routine vital registration collections from Pacific Island countries are examined to determine whether these data can improve our understanding of mortality and causes of death in the region. The work presents a review of available data, examines the potential flaws and biases in the data collections, and examines the methods best suited to working with the identified collections to generate valid, reliable estimates of mortality level and cause of death, disaggregated by age group and sex. Due to the scale and diversity of the Pacific Islands, six countries representing a broad range of population size, level of development, and all three sub-regions were selected for review. These were: Nauru, Fiji, Kiribati, Palau, Tonga and Vanuatu.Reporting systems were evaluated to identify potential impacts on the quality and completeness of available data using an assessment framework that considers the ii societal, administrative and system (administrative, technical and ownership) influences on the reporting system. Substantially more data was found to be available than has been previously analysed or published. Medical certificates of death are completed for some deaths in all of the study countries, and are required for all deaths in Nauru, Fiji, Tonga and Palau.Analytical strategies for deriving estimates of mortality level by age and sex were selected from available approaches based on the system assessments, data available and level of migration. Methods employed included direct calculation of mortality level and evaluation of trends over time (Nauru and Palau), evaluation of published data to establish plausible trends (Fiji and Tonga), direct demographic methods to assess completeness -the Brass Growth Balance analysis (Fiji), and capture-recapture analyses (Tonga and Kiribati). Only Vanuatu had insufficient data from routine collection systems to reliably generate mortality estimates. Findings from the use of model life tables in comparison to mortality estimates from empirical data in the other study countries were therefore reviewed to evaluate the plausibility of published estimates of mortality level from Vanuatu.Estimates of cause-specific mortality were calculated directly from the medical certificate data for Palau where the system review in...

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Mortality estimation from registered deaths in less developed countries

Cited by 65 publications

References 7 publications

O que os dados de mortalidade do Censo de 2010 podem nos dizer?

O que os dados de mortalidade do Censo de 2010 podem nos dizer?

Exploring Stable Population Concepts from the Perspective of Cohort Change Ratios

Mortality and cause of death in the Pacific

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