2010
DOI: 10.5089/9781455208951.001
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Monetary Policy Matters: New Evidence Based on a New Shock Measure

Abstract: Conventional VAR and non-VAR methods of identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on the economy have found a negative output response to monetary tightening using U.S. data over the 1960s-1990s. However, we show that these methods fail to find this contractionary effect when the sample is restricted to the period since the 1980s, apparently due to changes in the policymaking environment that reduce their effectiveness. Identifying policy shocks using Fed Funds futures data, we recover the contractiona… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Further, Crowe and Barakchian (2010) stated that examining the impact of monetary policy shock is sensitive to the period being observed. This finding is quite tricky to explain.…”
Section: Nomentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Further, Crowe and Barakchian (2010) stated that examining the impact of monetary policy shock is sensitive to the period being observed. This finding is quite tricky to explain.…”
Section: Nomentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Moreover, identifying monetary policy shocks in the data has been the subject of much contentious debate and no consensus has emerged in the literature. 41 Paradoxical results across sample periods, as documented in Ilzetzki and Jin (2013) and Crowe and Barakchian (2010) have further questioned common identification schemes for monetary policy shocks, and Fernández-Villaverde et al (2005) too have cautioned against the VAR-based impulse response matching approach. Appendix D provides an overview of the Bayesian approach and model selection criterion used in the paper.…”
Section: Estimation Set Upmentioning
confidence: 99%