Recent economic developments Strong economic growth continued in 2014/15, but the drought slowed down Ethiopia's growth to 8 percent in 2015/16. The Ethiopian economy grew by 8.0 in 2015/16 due to the recent drought affecting agricultural production with spillovers on the trade sector. Construction and services sectors account for most of the growth from the supply side. On the demand side, growth is driven by investment followed by private consumption. Economic growth over the past years was accompanied by a reduction of unemployment, although it remained high. Urban unemployment in the formal sector declined over the last decade, albeit slowly, and was reduced from 23 percent in 2004 to 17 percent in 2015. The urban economy is dominated by the manufacturing, construction, and services sectors with some unskilled labor migration from rural areas. Chapter 2 of this report will analyze these issues in more detail. The fiscal deficit was virtually unchanged in 2014/15 and 2015/16. The general government fiscal deficit (excluding SOEs) remained modest at 2.4 percent in 2015/16 similar to the preceding year despite spending to finance drought affected areas. An increase in revenue collection, mainly from non-tax sources, compensated the increase in total expenditure and helped to contain the fiscal deficit. An increase in non-tax revenues was the result of larger than expected collection of state dividends from state-owned enterprises and windfall gains to the Fuel Stabilization Fund. On the expenditure side, the general government spending stance was relaxed only marginally in 2015/16 despite additional spending for drought relief and strong capital budget execution. Exports have had their worst performance in the last decade and the current account balance remained large. The chronic current account deficit (including official transfers) continued to deteriorate in 2015/16. The deficit reached 10.4 percent of GDP in 2015/16 improved slightly from 11.5 percent in 2014/15. This was caused by the large imbalance in import and export of goods and services, which has reached to 19.8 percent of GDP. Goods exports were disappointing due to both volume and price effects in 2014/15but a slight pickup in volumes again in 2015/16and an appreciating real (effective) exchange rate. The downward trend in exports now continues over the last four years. Export of goods dropped by 3.7 percent in 2015/16. Inflation is remarkable stable given the recent drought and even declining; it stood at 5.6 percent in October 2016. While inflation rose temporarily above ten percent over the past year, it is remarkably stable given the recent drought situation. Inflation entered to double digits in June 2015 and increased to 11.8 percent one year ago in October 2015; since then it has declined and reached 5.6 percent in October 2016. Reasons for the relatively low inflationary impact are related to high levels of cereal stock reserves that were used during the drought and increased wheat imports. This is a good moment to reconsider the monetary ...