“…This ensures that global risk shocks are purged of any confounding e↵ects of actions by the Federal Reserve on global risk appetite. While US monetary policy has been identified as a driver of the Global Financial Cycle (Rey, 2015) and hence of global risk-o↵ episodes (Miranda-Agrippino & Rey, 2020, 2022, there are numerous episodes of heightened global risk that are disconnected from US monetary policy (Caldara et 1 A non-exhaustive body of work includes Anderson and Cesa-Bianchi (2023), Arbatli Saxegaard et al (2022), Cao et al (2023), Cloyne et al (2018), Fabiani et al (2022), Ferreira et al (2023), Jeenas (2019), Jungherr et al (2022), Öztürk (2022), Palazzo and Yamarthy (2022), and Smolyansky and Suarez (2021).…”