A detailed
modeling framework to describe thermal cracking reactions
during bitumen partial upgrading on a molecular basis is put forward
in this study. The first block of the framework describes the molecular
composition of a whole bitumen feedstock using statistical distributions
in conjunction with structural descriptors for hydrocarbon classes,
including solubility parameters to distinguish asphaltene components.
The creation of a molecular ensemble mimicking the bitumen feedstock
is accomplished via Monte Carlo simulation using input information
from bulk property measurements and advanced analytical methods. This
ensemble of molecules forms the starting point of the conversion model,
which is the second block. Thermal cracking chemistry is organized
in terms of reaction families, such as carbon–carbon bond cracking,
sulfur–carbon bond cracking, dehydrogenation, and condensation,
and the reactivity parameters are approximated using structure–reactivity
correlations. Because of its considerable size, the reaction network
is generated on the fly by means of a kinetic Monte Carlo algorithm,
whereby molecule cracking reactions progress one by one over time.
Reactivity parameters are tuned against an experimental data set generated
in a visbreaking pilot plant. Besides describing the evolution of
yield structure under different cracking severities, the model is
able to track changes in API gravity, asphaltene content, and molecular
distributions. Most importantly, the model explains how the different
molecular reaction pathways impact product properties relevant to
bitumen partial upgrading and provides directional predictions into
other aspects of these technologies, such as product solubility and
formation of olefins.