2001
DOI: 10.1016/s0378-1097(01)00342-1
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Modelling the vector pathway and infection of humans in an environmental outbreak of Escherichia coli O157

Abstract: Quantifying the transfer of Escherichia coli O157 from the environment to humans is essential for understanding outbreaks, establishing the infectious dose of the organism and proposing safeguards. We modelled the pathogen loading shed onto a field by sheep immediately prior to a scout camp where 18 scouts and two adults were infected with E. coli O157. We estimated the dose ingested (4^24 organisms) which is in agreement with the low infective dose reported previously for this organism in food outbreaks. Thes… Show more

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Cited by 38 publications
(68 citation statements)
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“…However, once faeces have become mixed with soil, ingestion is more likely. The model developed in this paper, assumes that the faeces is mixed homogeneously in the top 1 cm of soil which is in broad agreement with the experimental results (Fenlon et al, 2000;Strachan et al, 2001).…”
Section: Concentration On the Pasturesupporting
confidence: 72%
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“…However, once faeces have become mixed with soil, ingestion is more likely. The model developed in this paper, assumes that the faeces is mixed homogeneously in the top 1 cm of soil which is in broad agreement with the experimental results (Fenlon et al, 2000;Strachan et al, 2001).…”
Section: Concentration On the Pasturesupporting
confidence: 72%
“…The two dose -responses are considerably different with the rabbits requiring approximately 500-fold more organisms to cause 50% infection compared with the human data. In the current study, the surrogate Shigella dose -response model has been selected because it closely fits the outbreak in scouts at New Deer (Strachan et al, 2001) and appears to be closer to other recorded outbreak data (Ogden and Strachan, data not presented). The format of the model used is as described in Cassin et al (1998) and is given in Table 4.…”
Section: Hazard Characterisation/dose-response Assessmentmentioning
confidence: 95%
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“…Examples of where infection has been specifically associated with sheep include: illness linked with lambing ewes (Allison et al, 1997); sheep faeces apparently contaminating the water supply at a campsite outbreak (Licence et al, 2001); and an outbreak at a boy-scout camp caused through contact with sheep faeces (Strachan et al, 2001). Though sheep have been proposed as sources for human infection on a number of occasions, there have been few prevalence studies of verocytotoxigenic E. coli in sheep.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%