Modelling the transition towards a green economy in South Africa

Musango, Josephine Kaviti; Brent, Alan C.; Bassi, Andrea M.

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.022

Cited by 59 publications

(41 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…From mainstream references in the literature to this topic, such as the green city [8], ecological city [9], green economy [10,11], circular economy [12,13], low carbon city [14,15], ecological economy, green development, sustainable development [16], resource saving and environmental friendly society (two-oriented society) [17], we can see that representative achievements are mainly in the fields of indicator systems of regional green development assessment, the comprehensive assessment model and regional coordinated development evaluation methods. To summarize, this research mainly addresses the following research gaps: firstly, how to assess the level of regional green development in a relatively logical and accurate way; secondly, how to develop scientific and effective institutions and policies to help build green cities, provinces and countries based on the assessment results; thirdly, how to find the optimal path for China's green regional development; lastly, how to ultimately realize holistic green sustainable development in terms of human, economic and social aspects.…”

Section: "Urban Green Growth Means Fostering Economic Growth and Devementioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Green Development Efficiency of Municipalities and Provinces in China Integrating Models of Super-Efficiency DEA and Malmquist Index

Qing

Wan

2015

Sustainability

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Abstract:In order to realize economic and social green development, to pave a pathway towards China's green regional development and develop effective scientific policy to assist in building green cities and countries, it is necessary to put forward a relatively accurate, scientific and concise green assessment method. The research uses the CCR (A. Charnes & W. W. Cooper & E. Rhodes) Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model to obtain the green development frontier surface based on 31 regions' annual cross-section data from 2008-2012. Furthermore, in order to classify the regions whereby assessment values equal to 1 in the CCR model, we chose the Super-Efficiency DEA model for further sorting. Meanwhile, according to the five-year panel data, the green development efficiency changes of 31 regions can be manifested by the Malmquist index. Finally, the study assesses the reasons for regional differences; while analyzing and discussing the results may allude to a superior green development pathway for China.

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Section: "Urban Green Growth Means Fostering Economic Growth and Devementioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Green Development Efficiency of Municipalities and Provinces in China Integrating Models of Super-Efficiency DEA and Malmquist Index

Qing

Wan

2015

Sustainability

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“…It makes use of four building blocks: stocks, flows, auxiliaries, and constants [13], as illustrated in Figure 2. In this example a water reservoir represents a stock; inflow and outflow represent the flows; precipitation and demand are constants, with arrows linking to inflow and outflow respectively.…”

Section: Figure 1: Illustrative Cldmentioning

confidence: 99%

Water Resource Infrastructure Implications of a Green Economy Transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A System Dynamics Approach

Pienaar¹,

Brent

Musango³

et al. 2017

SAJIE

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The Western Cape Province government in South Africa has established the transition to a green economy as a high priority. The sustainable use of water resources has been identified as a critical necessity for such a green economy transition. The research summarised in this paper conceptualised the factors that relate to water resources, and that influence the transition to a green economy in the Western Cape Province. Subsequently, a system dynamics model was developed to evaluate the impact of key strategic interventions of the green economy transition. The results from the model show that the Province could possibly experience extreme water shortages in the near future if a business-as-usual scenario continues. However, with sufficient investment and effective management, the water demand of the Province can be met. OPSOMMINGDie Wes-Kaapse Provinsiale regering in Suid-Afrika het die oorgang na 'n groen ekonomie as 'n hoë prioriteit gestel. Die volhoubare gebruik van waterbronne is geïdentifiseer as 'n noodsaaklikheid vir so 'n groen ekonomie oorgang. Hierdie navorsing som die faktore wat verband hou met waterbronne, en wat die oorgang na 'n groen ekonomie in die Wes-Kaap Provinsie kan beïnvloed op. Daarna is 'n stelsel dinamika model ontwikkel om die impak van die belangrikste strategiese ingrypings van die groen ekonomie oorgang te evalueer. Die resultate van die model toon dat die provinsie moontlik uiterste watertekorte in die nabye toekoms as ervaar indien die huidige gebruiklike scenario voortduur. Maar met voldoende investering en doeltreffende bestuur, kan die vraag n water in die Provinsie bevredig word.

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“…The WeCaGEM is similar to the South African Green Economy Model (SAGEM) [21], which is a system dynamics-based simulation model whose main focus was to evaluate the effects of investing in technology options for a green economy in South Africa. WeCaGEM focuses on water, road infrastructure, biofuels, and food crop production sectors within the Western Cape Province.…”

Section: The Green Economy Model For Food Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…SAGEM [21] was used as a guideline to develop the food crop production model. The advantage of using SAGEM as a guideline is that it already incorporates various complex dynamics that cut across the economic, social, and environmental spheres.…”

Section: The Green Economy Model For Food Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Implications for the Agriculture Sector of a Green Economy Transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A System Dynamics Modelling Approach to Food Crop Production

Niekerk¹,

Brent

Musango³

et al. 2017

SAJIE

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The Western Cape Provincial government in South Africa has introduced a green economy framework, 'Green is Smart', to create a more sustainable economy. This framework stipulates plans for the Western Cape Province to implement more sustainable farming practices for food crop production. While sustainable farming practices will have benefits for the environment, they will also impact food crop production and will require financial investments from stakeholders. To comprehend fully the problem at hand, and to understand better the implications of a green economy transition for the food crop production system, system dynamics modelling was undertaken. The model's findings highlight that sustainable farming practices will only be financially and environmentally viable if they match the yields of conventional farming practices. OPSOMMINGDie Wes-Kaapse Provinsiale regering in Suid-Afrika het 'n groenekonomie raamwerk, 'Green is Smart', bekendgestel met die doel om 'n meer volhoubare ekonomie te skep. Hierdie raamwerk bepaal planne vir die Wes-Kaapse Provinsie om meer volhoubare voedselproduksie-en boerderypraktyke te implementeer. Terwyl volhoubare boerderypraktyke voordele vir die omgewing het, sal dit ook 'n impak op voedselproduksie hê, en sal finansiële beleggings van belanghebbendes vereis. Om die probleem ten volle te begryp, en om die implikasies van 'n groenekonomie oorgang vir die produksie voedselgewasstelsel beter te verstaan, is stelsel dinamika modellering onderneem. Die model se bevindinge beklemtoon dat volhoubare boerderypraktyke net finansieel en omgewingsvriendelik lewensvatbaar sal wees as dit kompeterend is met opbrengste van konvensionele boerderypraktyke.

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Modelling the transition towards a green economy in South Africa

Cited by 59 publications

References 7 publications

Assessing Green Development Efficiency of Municipalities and Provinces in China Integrating Models of Super-Efficiency DEA and Malmquist Index

Assessing Green Development Efficiency of Municipalities and Provinces in China Integrating Models of Super-Efficiency DEA and Malmquist Index

Water Resource Infrastructure Implications of a Green Economy Transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A System Dynamics Approach

Implications for the Agriculture Sector of a Green Economy Transition in the Western Cape Province of South Africa: A System Dynamics Modelling Approach to Food Crop Production

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