Modelling systemic risks to inform a repowering decision

Vatn, Jørn

doi:10.1201/b15938-331

Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis 2013

DOI: 10.1201/b15938-331

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Modelling systemic risks to inform a repowering decision

Jørn Vatn¹

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2018

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“…In this model, a Bayesian belief network is applied to structure two levels of Risk Influencing Factors (RIFs) connected to the basic events in QRA. Also, the principles for updating the risk picture with a QRA-basis have been demonstrated (Vatn, 2014). The Risk OMT seems to be a promising model for a dynamic risk barometer based on indicators (Paltrinieri et al, 2017, Paltrinieri et al, 2014.…”

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confidence: 99%

Risk-based maintenance backlog

Rødseth¹

2018

Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World

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A relevant issue in manufacturing and production seems to be "silo"-organisations and "silo"-planning with lack of coordination between departments. Integrated Planning (IPL) is a concept that aims to cope with this "silo"-problem. With the groundbreaking potentials from Industry 4.0 it should be expected that the advancement of IPL will speed up in development and implementation in companies. To manage IPL sound Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) must be implemented and established in the company. A promising indicator for IPL is Maintenance Backlog (MB). A strength of this indicator is the capability to be modelled with Risk OMT (Risk modelling-Integration of Organisational, human and Technical factors). It remains to investigate how MB can be modelled to a Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA). The main objective of this article is to develop a model of MB in QRA. In particular the article demonstrates a case study of a production system where both Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), and Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is modelled. The article discusses the demonstration results and evaluate how potentials in Industry 4.0 can support QRA.

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confidence: 99%

Risk-based maintenance backlog

Rødseth¹

2018

Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World

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Modelling systemic risks to inform a repowering decision

Cited by 1 publication

References 6 publications

Risk-based maintenance backlog

Risk-based maintenance backlog

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