Modelling spatial variations of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): evidence from a global perspective

Appiah-Otoo, Isaac; Kursah, Matthew Biniyam

doi:10.1007/s10708-021-10427-0

Cited by 11 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 23 publications

(53 reference statements)

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“…The figures about annual deaths for the years between 2015 and 2020 in 79 countries are collected from the World Mortality Dataset [22] and from national health authorities. 1 To construct the index of excess mortality or p-score, the following formula is estimated: is the average number of deaths between 2015 and 2019 in country c. Considering the geographically unequal distribution of Covid-19 fatalities [2,23], the distribution of the dependent variable proved to be not normal, after testing with the Shapiro-Wilk test. To address this issue, alongside heteroskedasticity and outliers, the author ran a median quantile regression model.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The underlying factors of excess mortality in 2020: a cross-country analysis of pre-pandemic healthcare conditions and strategies to cope with Covid-19

Kapitsinis

2021

BMC Health Serv Res

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Background Government responses to the pandemic varied in terms of timing, duration, and stringency, seeking to protect healthcare systems, whose pre-pandemic state varied significantly. Therefore, the severity of Covid-19 and, thus, excess mortality have been unequal across counties. This paper explores the geography of excess mortality and its underlying factors in 2020, highlighting the effects of health policies pre-pandemic and strategies devised by governments to cope with Covid-19. Methods Excess mortality is estimated for 79 high, medium and low-income countries. The factors of excess mortality are examined employing median quantile regression analysis. Results Health privatization, healthcare underfunding, and late implementation of containment and mitigation strategies were powerful drivers of excess mortality. By contrast, the results suggest a negative association of excess mortality with health expenditure, number of doctors and hospital beds, share of population covered by health insurance and test and trace capacity. Conclusions The evidence highlights the importance of sufficiently funded healthcare systems with universal access and strong primary healthcare in the battle against the pandemic. An early response to Covid-19, including borders’ controls and a strong test and trace capacity, could improve epidemiological surveillance and minimize excess mortality, with stringent and lengthy lockdowns not providing a significant benefit.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The underlying factors of excess mortality in 2020: a cross-country analysis of pre-pandemic healthcare conditions and strategies to cope with Covid-19

Kapitsinis

2021

BMC Health Serv Res

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“…Idogawa et al ( 2 ) used data from Johns Hopkins University's global coronavirus dashboard, data from the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, and WHO situation reports to construct an interactive graph of coronavirus disease cases and deaths to help track COVID-19 trends over time. Appiah and Kursah ( 3 ) used WHO data to study the impact of confirmed COVID-19 cases on the number of deaths at the global and regional levels, demonstrating a positive correlation between the two.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using Pandemic Data to Examine the Government's Pandemic Prevention Measures and Its Support Policies for Vulnerable Groups

Fang

Chen

et al. 2022

Front. Public Health

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The outbreak of COVID-19 and the uncertainty it brings have created enormous pressure on governments to control the global pandemic and restore economic growth. It is an inevitable choice for governments of various countries to seek to control the pandemic and to provide support such as subsidies to people who lose their jobs or cannot work. However, governments should evaluate their pandemic policies to determine their effectiveness. To maintain social stability and help vulnerable groups, governments also must determine when subsidies are needed and when these support policies should be withdrawn. This research demonstrates that the administration of vaccines and the wearing of masks have a relatively limited impact on preventing the spread of the COVID-19 virus. By contrast, strict school closure policies combined with personal movement restrictions are more helpful in mitigating the spread of the virus. Compared with vaccine policies and wearing masks, controlling internal movement is the most effective way to manage the pandemic in schools. Additionally, economic support such as subsidies for the unemployed and underemployed is not only conducive to prevention of the virus' spread but also to economic recovery and social stability. When the pandemic is brought under control, economic support for vulnerable groups can be gradually reduced or even withdrawn.

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“…After the break of coronavirus, studies have used statistical methods to determine the nexus between cases, the factors of transmission and the determination of clusters (Appiah-Otoo & Kursah, 2021). As the characteristics of Covid-19 are original and wild, it spread very quickly.…”

Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Spatiotemporal pattern of Covid-19 outbreak in Turkey

Aral

Bakır

2022

GeoJournal

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Modelling spatial variations of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): evidence from a global perspective

Cited by 11 publications

References 23 publications

The underlying factors of excess mortality in 2020: a cross-country analysis of pre-pandemic healthcare conditions and strategies to cope with Covid-19

The underlying factors of excess mortality in 2020: a cross-country analysis of pre-pandemic healthcare conditions and strategies to cope with Covid-19

Using Pandemic Data to Examine the Government's Pandemic Prevention Measures and Its Support Policies for Vulnerable Groups

Spatiotemporal pattern of Covid-19 outbreak in Turkey

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