Modeling the segment interactions of Ukraine’s financial market

Abstract

This study is devoted to assessing the level of individual segments interconnectedness within the financial market of Ukraine (FMU) and their dynamics in uncertain conditions. The methodology of the systematic approach is used to investigate the dynamic relationship between individual segments of the financial market of Ukraine, namely credit (deposit-credit) market, stock market (market of securities), government securities market, currency market, and interbank market. The study of financial market dynamics focuses on the description of the price indicators of individual market segments, which are monitored using time series analysis and statistical methods. The results of the time series assessment revealed the fractal characteristics of the Ukrainian financial market as a measure of sustainability (namely inertia). It is revealed that all segments of the financial market, except credit, are characterized by persistence. It is established that the development of market segments is uneven and is characterized as bifurcation. The credit segment is addicted to insider behavior and has the highest risk concentration. It is revealed that the foreign exchange market is still in crisis. The results of modeling the correlation relationships between market segments have shown that, in the presence of such relationships, they differ in the strength and nature of the interaction. They are volatile, unstable, and situational, dependent on external conditions. The credit market has a relationship with other segments, not significantly strong but stable. The results of the analysis indicate the dynamic development of segments within the Ukrainian financial market in the presence of interconnections between them. AcknowledgmentThe study was conducted within the framework of the State Budget of the Kyiv National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman on the topic “Innovative development of banking activities in the integrated financial environment” (state registration number 0117U001178).  

Analysis of the Dynamics of Europe Stock Markets Development

“…The scientific paper "Modeling the segment interactions of Ukraine's financial market" is devoted to the evaluation of the level of interconnection of individual segments of Ukraine's financial market and their dynamics in uncertain conditions, based on the methodology of the system approach and the evaluation of time series (Prymostka et. al., 2020).…”

Model Assessment of Interaction between Banking and Insurance Segments of the Financial Market

“…Only in some cases (Vygovska, Polchanov, & Vygovskyi, 2018) studies of the cooperation of insurance companies and banking institutions or individual segments of the financial market (Prymostka et al, 2020) are based on the mathematical modeling of the dependence of the insurance market on banking in the form of correlation regression models, which provides sufficient arrays of statistics for each individual case. Thus, it is important not only to systematically study the mechanisms of the cooperation between banks and insurance companies, which is very promising and important for banks, or to assess the feasibility of their interaction and customer satisfaction, but also to involve modern economic and mathematical modeling tools to solve this scientific and practical problem, which is able to reflect the processes of emergence and development of the synergetic effect as a result of combining these entities for a common goal: to make a profit and meet customer needs.…”