Modeling the injury severity of small-displacement motorcycle crashes in Hanoi City, Vietnam

Nguyen, Dinh Vinh Man; Vu, Anh Tuan; Polders, Evelien; Ross, Veerle; Brijs, Tom; Wets, Geert; Brijs, Kris

doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105371

Cited by 20 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 100 publications

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“…In a study conducted by Pervez et al [35] in Pakistan, it was reported that 74% of the total registered vehicles were motorcycles and that motorcyclists' involvement is maximum for fatal crashes. Similar results were reported by Nguyen et al [37] in Hanoi, Vietnam, where the share of motorcyclists for crashes was 44%.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 90%

“…For instance, Pervez et al [35] in Pakistan and Bhalla et al [34] in Sri Lanka reported the vulnerability of young drivers in the age range of 18-25 years for fatal crashes. Furthermore, in detail, the results indicate that with increasing age, crash severity decreases, which is in line, for example, with Singh et al [3], Rhodes et al [36], Nguyen et al [37] and Damani and Vedagiri [38]. At first glance, it can be argued that with increasing age, crash severity increases due to increased frailty and visible decrease in certain driving abilities and performance.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 83%

“…In continuation of the above-mentioned approach, it can be recommended that road infrastructure can be improved by structural designs that convert a part of kinetic energy into deformation energy, minimizing excessive deceleration while guiding and reorienting vehicle movements to avoid excessive impact forces. This kind of road design is required on roads prone to crashes [37,54]. Furthermore, adequate lighting systems are required to improvise visibility, particularly during the daytime [55].…”

Section: Recommendationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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An Exploration of Characteristics and Time Series Forecast of Fatal Road Crashes in Manipal, India

et al. 2022

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Road crashes are the sixth leading cause of death in India. There has been a fourfold increase in the number of road traffic crashes in India in the last four decades and an increase of 9.8 times in the fatalities associated with that exponential increase. Manipal is a coastal place with a population of approximately 50,000 inhabitants lying in between the western Mountain range and the Arabian sea. The study’s objective is to explore the characteristics of fatal road crashes in Manipal from 2008–2018 using the data pertaining to fatal crashes retrieved from the office of the superintendent of police. Furthermore, it aims to forecast crashes by time series analysis prediction. The results show that most of the fatal crashes are due to exceeding the lawful speed limit, followed by driving under the influence of alcohol and going ahead and overtaking. The time series analysis forecasted the number of fatal crashes until the year 2025 and predicted that there will be an increase in the number of fatal road crashes by 4.5%. The results also provide essential leads for initiating specific intervention programmes targeting the causes of fatal road crashes.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 90%

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 83%

Section: Recommendationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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An Exploration of Characteristics and Time Series Forecast of Fatal Road Crashes in Manipal, India

et al. 2022

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“…Although motorcycles are the main transport tools in developing countries, the severity of motorcycle crash injuries varies depending on the economic development, urban planning, and transportation policies [72]. In terms of the time of the crash, studies in Vietnam [79], Thailand [80], and Malaysia [81] showed a higher risk of severe injury arising from motorcycle crashes that occur between night and early morning, while our study showed that early morning was a risk factor for severe injury within the whole cohort, and late-night and afternoon were significant times for drivers aged 18-24. Our study also analyzed the signal status and found that flashing signals increased the risk of a severe motorcycle crash injury, which was not observed in the studies mentioned above.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental Factors Associated with Severe Motorcycle Crash Injury in University Neighborhoods: A Multicenter Study in Taiwan

Lin

Pai

et al. 2022

IJERPH

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University neighborhoods in Taiwan have high-volume traffic, which may increase motorcyclists’ risk of injury. However, few studies have analyzed the environmental factors affecting motorcycle crash injury severity in university neighborhoods. In this multicenter cross-sectional study, we explored the factors that increase the severity of such injuries, especially among young adults. We retrospectively connected hospital data to the Police Traffic Accident Dataset. Areas within 500 m of a university were considered university neighborhoods. We analyzed 4751 patients, including 513 with severe injury (injury severity score ≥ 8). Multivariate analysis revealed that female sex, age ≥ 45 years, drunk driving, early morning driving, flashing signals, and single-motorcycle crashes were risk factors for severe injury. Among patients aged 18–24 years, female sex, late-night and afternoon driving, and flashing signals were risk factors. Adverse weather did not increase the risk. Time to hospital was a protective factor, reflecting the effectiveness of urban emergency medical services. Lifestyle habits among young adults, such as drunk driving incidents and afternoon and late-night driving, were also explored. We discovered that understanding chaotic traffic in the early morning, flashing signals at the intersections, and roadside obstacles is key for mitigating injury severity from motorcycle crashes in university neighborhoods.

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“…Vietnam, one of the most populous members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), has been achieving robust economic growth recently [23]. Aside from positive impacts, this development has led to the heavy use of private motorized transportation, thereby contributing to severe challenges (e.g., congestion, air pollution, fossil fuel consumption, and road crashes), particularly in Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam [24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33]. To form sustainable urban transportation, the Hanoi government has attempted to strengthen public transport by establishing mass rapid transit with urban rail lines and BRT corridors.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Bus Crash Severity in Hanoi, Vietnam

Nguyen

Armoogum

et al. 2021

Safety

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Recently, there has been an increasing interest in targeting the safety of bus operations worldwide; however, little is known about the determinants of the bus crash severity in developing countries. By estimating an ordered logit model using the bus-involved collision data in Hanoi (Vietnam), spanning the period from 2015 to 2019, this study investigates various factors associated with the crash severity. The results reveal that the severity risk increases for (1) large buses, (2) raining conditions, (3) evening or night, (4) sparse traffic, (5) non-urban areas, (6) roads with at least three lanes, (7) curved roads, (8) two-way roads without a physical barrier, (9) head-on collision, and (10) pedestrian-related crashes. Aside from confirming the crucial roles of a wide range of factors, this research has examined the effects of two determinants (traffic density and crash area) that have not been considered for the cases of developing countries previously. Based on the findings on the impacts of factors, a series of policy recommendations regarding improving road conditions in non-urban areas, promoting walking infrastructure, reminders of high-risk situations for drivers, safety notes when improving bus service quality, and recording bus-related crashes are proposed.

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Modeling the injury severity of small-displacement motorcycle crashes in Hanoi City, Vietnam

Cited by 20 publications

References 100 publications

An Exploration of Characteristics and Time Series Forecast of Fatal Road Crashes in Manipal, India

An Exploration of Characteristics and Time Series Forecast of Fatal Road Crashes in Manipal, India

Environmental Factors Associated with Severe Motorcycle Crash Injury in University Neighborhoods: A Multicenter Study in Taiwan

Bus Crash Severity in Hanoi, Vietnam

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