Modeling human factors influencing herding during evacuation

Zafar, Muzna; Zia, Kashif; Saini, Dinesh Kumar; Muhammad, Arshad; Ferscha, Alois

doi:10.1108/ijpcc-03-2017-0024

Cited by 5 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…Richardson (1994) explained that the crowd needs an understanding of sequences of disaster, triggering events and their coupling causes. Some more literature reviewed includes swarm behaviour in emergency situations (Beltaief et al, 2017); herding behaviour of a crowd (Zafar et al, 2017); human movement in crowds (Mohamaddan and Case, 2016). Xing et al (2017) observed that female passengers probably involved in escalator-related injuries than male.…”

Section: Purpose and Methods Of The Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

A case study of Elphinstone Road foot-over-bridge stampede in Mumbai

Kadam

Bandyopadhyay

2020

IJCIS

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Planning or implementation delays of critical infrastructure (CI) projects resulted in misfortunes such as accidents, stampedes or deaths. In this descriptive case study, an incidence of the stampede at the suburban train station in Mumbai has discussed. An endeavour has been made to examine underlying causes which instigate direct causes reinforced by contributing causes. Indian Army was being roped in for constructing additional foot-over-bridge (FOB) after the stampede. This case features the earnestness of appropriate and timely development of associated infrastructure in and around suburban stations in Mumbai proportionate to abundant passengers commuting. Post stampede reports from newspapers, televisions channels and the internet have largely used to build this case. Pre and post cause analysis discussion on Elphinstone Road FOB stampede case is an eye-opener to justify sustainable emergency management and associated infrastructure development in Mumbai.

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Section: Purpose and Methods Of The Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

A case study of Elphinstone Road foot-over-bridge stampede in Mumbai

Kadam

Bandyopadhyay

2020

IJCIS

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“…The research conducted by Bledaa and Shackley [7] is more related to this work. It used ABM for studying the establishment of risk perceptions-one of the well-known models, social and theory-driven in nature, which is widely studied [19][20][21][22]. Many simulation models targeting different domains have been developed, such as the one recently developed by Ge et al [23] for the supply chain management.…”

Section: Background and Motivationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agent-Based Modeling of a Self-Organized Food Safety System

Zia

Farooq

Muhammad

2019

Safety

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The wisdom of crowds" is often observed in social discourses and activities around us. The manifestations of it are, however, so intrinsically embedded and behaviorally accepted that an elaboration of a social phenomenon evidencing such wisdom is often considered a discovery; or at least an astonishing fact. One such scenario is explored here, namely, the conceptualization and modeling of a food safety system-a system directly related to social cognition. The first contribution of this paper is the re-evaluation of Knowles's model towards a more conscious understanding of "the wisdom of crowds" effects on inspection and consumption behaviors. The second contribution is augmenting the model with social networking capabilities, which acts as a medium to spread information about stores and help consumers find uncontaminated stores. Simulation results revealed that stores respecting social cognition improve the effectiveness of the food safety system for consumers as well as for the stores. Simulation findings also revealed that active societies have the capability to self-organize effectively, even if they lack regulatory obligations. Safety 2019, 5, 52 2 of 14 people. The occurrences of such disasters initiated a debate regarding viable solutions. The solutions under considerations include introducing strict laws, re-thinking of prevalent industrial practices and adopting a fresh approach to understanding consumer behaviors [8].Stores are usually not the center of attention when it comes to food safety. The main measures within the whole food chain take place before the store level. The assessment and eradication of food contamination, at the consumer level, is usually carried out using food inspection programs in which the food provided by the stores is the center of attention. It is, however, noted that the lack of standards has made the provision of resources for inspection and agreeing upon thresholds for contamination, a real challenge [9,10]. Similarly, the consumers and the psychological factors representing their perceptions [11,12] and attitudes [13] about food quality are also important [10].The systems, which are social in nature, including food supply and consumption, are usually based on societal needs and constraints and they evolve with time. Most of them, however, are not ideal for several reasons, including the diversity of the human race, the inherent imbalance in human reasoning, the gap between scientific knowledge and its impact on individuals in terms of development and flaws in knowledge and judgments.Computational Social Science (CSS) [14] is a comparatively a new field of study, believing in the use of computational procedures for solving social problems. It mimics physical systems by developing their models in such a way that computers understand and compute them. Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) [15] is one of the most widely used techniques for investigating CSS problems. In ABM, the real objects of interest are represented as agents, which provide an abstract representation of characteristics...

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“…A general overview of applications of modeling and simulation to solve real life problem is presented by Ipek Bozkurt and Jose J. Padilla [16] focused on Epistemological, Ontological, Teleological and Methodological themes. More related to the our research is the work of Mercedes Bledaa and Simon Shackley [17] using agent-based simulation to study formation of risk perceptions; one of the many social theory driven models which have been simulated [18][19][20][21]. Additionally, in systems, many simulation models are proposed i.e., recent model of supply-chain proposed by Houtian Ge, et.…”

Section: Motivationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agent-based Modeling of a Self-Organized Food Safety System

Zia¹,

Saini²,

Muhammad³

et al. 2018

Preprint

Self Cite

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"The wisdom of crowd'' is so often observed in social discourses and activities around us. The manifestations of it are, however, so intrinsically embedded and behaviorally accepted that an elaboration of a social phenomenon evidencing such wisdom is often cheered as a discovery; or at least an astonishing fact. One such scenario is explored here, namely conceptualization and modeling of a food safety system, a system directly related to social cognition. Food safety is an area of concern these days. Models representing the food safety systems are recently published to study the effect of interactions between important entities of the system. For example, Knowles’s model finds conditions leading to a more efficient and dependable system of entities like consumers, regulators and stores with specific focus on regulators behavior and their impact on the food safety. The first contribution of this paper is reevaluation of Knowles’s model towards a more conscious understanding of ``the wisdom of crowd'' effects on inspection and consuming behaviors. The second contribution is augmenting of the model with social networking capabilities, which acts as a medium to spread information about stores and help consumers find stores which are not contaminated. Simulation results reveal that stores’ respecting social cognition improve effectiveness of the food safety system for consumers and stores both. Simulation findings also reveals that an active society has a capability to self-organize effectively even in the absence of any regulatory compulsion.

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Modeling human factors influencing herding during evacuation

Cited by 5 publications

References 22 publications

A case study of Elphinstone Road foot-over-bridge stampede in Mumbai

A case study of Elphinstone Road foot-over-bridge stampede in Mumbai

Agent-Based Modeling of a Self-Organized Food Safety System

Agent-based Modeling of a Self-Organized Food Safety System

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