The crop water stress index (CWSI) has been shown to be a tool that could be used for non-contact and real-time monitoring of plant water status, which is a key requirement for the precision irrigation management of crops. However, its adoption for irrigation scheduling is limited because of the need to know the baseline temperatures which are required for its calculation. In this study, the canopy temperature of greenhouse cultivated lettuce plants which were maintained as either well-watered or non-transpiring was continuously monitored along with prevailing environmental conditions during a five week period. This data was applied in developing a dynamic model that can be used for predicting the baseline temperatures. Input variables for the dynamic model included air temperature, shortwave irradiance, and air vapour pressure deficit measured at a 10 s interval. During a follow up study, the dynamic model successfully predicted the baseline temperatures producing mean absolute errors (MAE) that varied between 0.17°C and 0.29°C, and root mean squared errors (RMSE) that varied between 0.21°C and 0.35°C when comparing model predictions with measured values. The model predicted baseline temperatures were applied in calculating an empirical CWSI for lettuce plants receiving one of two irrigation treatments. The empirical CWSI consistently differentiated between the irrigation treatments and was significantly correlated with the theoretical CWSI with correlation coefficient (r) values greater than 0.9. The dynamic model presented in this study requires easily measured input parameters for the prediction of the baseline temperatures. This eliminates the need to maintain artificial reference surfaces required in other empirical approaches for the CWSI calculation and also eliminates the need for computing the complex theoretical CWSI.