Model‐based evaluation of climate change impacts on rice grain quality in the main European rice district

Cappelli, G.; Bregaglio, Simone

doi:10.1002/fes3.307

Cited by 6 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 90 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Stress conditions like drought or high temperature typically result in increased protein content in sorghum as a result of an increase in the percent of nitrogen content (Weightman et al, 2008;Pang et al, 2018;Impa et al, 2019). In modeling changing rice quality under projected climate change in northern Italy, Cappelli and Bregaglio (2021) found commodity quality would decrease by 8-20%, with a loss of revenues to millers of 50-100 € per ton between 2030-2070. Heat stress and drought was found to decrease starch content (by 5-10%), but increase protein (by 10%) and mineral concentrations (by 10-20%) in a meta-analysis of C 3 cereal grains (e.g., C 3 is the most common photosynthetic pathway, including wheat, rice, barely, and oats, among 85% of other plant species; Mariem et al, 2021).…”

Section: Climate Change-induced Alterations In Postharvest Quality Of...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As temperatures are predicted to increase, higher temperatures are likely to reduce the shelf life of many commodities (Ashaye, 2018;Parajuli et al, 2019;Thole et al, 2021). In addition, the overall nutritional quality of food is greatly affected by climate change scenarios (Srivastava, 2019;Mariem et al, 2021), altering carbohydrate-to-protein and sugar-to-nutrient ratios (Ashaye, 2018) and even on milling qualities and cooking suitability (Cappelli and Bregaglio, 2021). More to the point, prior work has shown that 60% of the variation in technological and breadmaking parameters is influenced by the pre-harvest production season (Mastilovićet al, 2018).…”

Section: Climate Change-induced Alterations In Postharvest Quality Of...mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Pest Management in the Postharvest Agricultural Supply Chain Under Climate Change

Gerken

Morrison

2022

Front. Agron.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate change is a danger to the agricultural system and will impact the availability of food to feed the world. While much attention has focused on the effects of climate change on pest management prior to harvest, much less attention and time has been devoted to determining the effects of climate change on pest management in the postharvest supply chain from farm to fork. Climate change may percolate to pest management at a macro level through compositional changes in which species attack commodities through distributional changes or what commodities are grown in a region (and thus processed in that area). However, climate change may also result in altered microclimates at food facilities, which can be tied to increased generation times, elevated damage and contamination potential, greater abundance of species, and greater need for external inputs. A variety of integrated pest management (IPM) strategies may help increase the resiliency and adaptation of management to climate change. Tactics susceptible to warming temperature changes in climate showing decreased efficacy include semiochemical-based, behaviorally-based tactics, a subset of insecticides (e.g., pyrethrins and pyrethroids), and those that rely on low temperature (e.g., grain aeration, grain chilling). Tactics at food facilities showing resilience to warming temperature changes in climate include packaging, other groups of insecticides, and likely sanitation. Data gaps include predicting changing distributions for stored product insects under climate change, translating macro climate changes into microclimate changes at food facilities, and rigorously investigating how IPM tactic efficacy varies under changing climate. Increased scrutiny of how climate change will affect pest management in the postharvest supply chain will deliver improved outcomes for the entire agricultural system.

show abstract

Section: Climate Change-induced Alterations In Postharvest Quality Of...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Climate Change-induced Alterations In Postharvest Quality Of...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Pest Management in the Postharvest Agricultural Supply Chain Under Climate Change

Gerken

Morrison

2022

Front. Agron.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Not only does the occurrence of chalky grain (CG) lower the market price, but milling losses caused by fragile CG also reduce head rice yield and create direct income reduction (Lyman et al,2013). A few simulation studies estimated increasing economic losses due to the further degradation of grain quality resulting from increased temperatures under climate change by the mid-century in Japan (Masutomi et al,2019) and in Europe (Cappelli and Bregaglio,2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effectiveness of heat tolerance rice cultivars in preserving grain appearance quality under high temperatures - A meta-analysis

Wakatsuki

Takimoto

Ishigooka

et al. 2023

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Background: Climate change, particularly rising temperatures, negatively affects rice grain quality, increasing chalky grain percentage (CG) and hampering rice grade and price. Heat-tolerant cultivars have been bred and released since the 2000s, but the effectiveness of heat tolerance in reducing the occurrence of CG has yet to be quantified. Objectives: This study aimed to measure the effectiveness of breeding for better heat tolerance in reducing the negative impact of high temperatures on rice quality. Methods: Through a systematic literature search, we developed a dataset including 1297 field observations covering 48 cultivars from five different heat-tolerant ranks (HTRs) at 44 sites across Japan. A linear mixed-effect model (LME) and a random forest model (RF) were fitted to the data to analyze the effect of HTR and climatic factors such as the cumulative mean air temperature above 26°C (TaHD), mean solar radiation and mean relative humidity for 20 days after heading on CG. Results: The LME model explained 63 % of the variation with a 14% RMSE. The RF partial dependence plot revealed that the logit-transformed CG response to climate factors was linear, supporting the assumption of LME. The statistical analysis showed that CG increased as a function of TaHD (P < 0.001), with significant differences among HTRs (P < 0.001). The strongest effect of TaHD was obtained for the lowest HTR and was found to decrease with increasing HTR. CG also increased with higher relative humidity (P < 0.001) and solar radiation (P < 0.01). Based on our modeling, we estimated that as TaHD increased from 20 to 80 degrees Cd (equivalent to a mean temperature increase from 27 degrees C to 30 degrees C), CG increased by 66 points for cultivars with the lowest HTR, 45 points for cultivars with an intermediate HTR, and 19 points for cultivars with the highest HTR. Raising HTR by just one step (from intermediate to moderately tolerant) is projected to increase the proportion of first-grade rice at a grain-filling temperature of 27 degrees C, but tolerance levels need to be improved further in case of stronger warming. Conclusions: The effect of high temperatures on CG was highly dependent on the cultivar's HTR. Improvements in HTR effectively reduce the negative impacts of high temperatures on rice grain quality. Significance: Heat-tolerant cultivars are projected to suppress the prevalence of CG more than threefold compared with heat-sensitive cultivars when grain-filling temperature increases from 27 to 30 degrees C.

show abstract

Research trends and gaps in climate change impacts and adaptation potentials in major crops

Wakatsuki

Jiang

Nelson

et al. 2023

Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Model‐based evaluation of climate change impacts on rice grain quality in the main European rice district

Abstract: This is an open access article under the terms of the Creat ive Commo ns Attri bution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Cited by 6 publications

References 90 publications

Pest Management in the Postharvest Agricultural Supply Chain Under Climate Change

Pest Management in the Postharvest Agricultural Supply Chain Under Climate Change

Effectiveness of heat tolerance rice cultivars in preserving grain appearance quality under high temperatures - A meta-analysis

Research trends and gaps in climate change impacts and adaptation potentials in major crops

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About