21Livestock keeping forms main occupation in arid and semi-arid lands. Increase in 22 drought frequency and intensity globally negatively affect livestock production and 23 livelihood. Cattle are the most drought sensitive livestock due to size, grazing behavior and 24 nutritional requirements. Factors for vulnerability of cattle to droughts are individual cattle 25 parameters, health and husbandry practices. This cross sectional study aimed to those factors 26 in semi-arid Kaloleni sub-county. Data on household (HH) head demographics, cattle and 27 production collected from 194 enrolled HH using structured questionnaires. Cattle ages were 28 grouped into young (<1 year old), growers (1-2 years old) and adults (>2years old). Data was 29 analyzed using STATA 12 software. Univariate, bivariate and multivariate logistic regression 30 analysis conducted and reported in Crude Odds Ratio (cOR), Adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) and 31 Confidence Interval (CI). We used Pearson product-moment correlation to determine 32 relationship between HH head, cattle herd, individual cattle characteristics and drought 33 characteristics, p = <0.05 being significant. Mean age HH heads was 40.7 ± 12.6 years, 44.3% 34 (86) had basic education, males were 65.3% (n=126). Mixed livestock production was 35 practiced by 69.1% (134), while 86.1% (167) practiced free range communal grazing. Adult 36 cattle were 54.1% (1295). Female cattle were 72.7% (1741). Average body condition score 37 was 3.0 ± 0.6, and calves had 2.6 ± 1.3. About 20.6% had various forms of illness, calves 38 mostly affected at 29.1%. Up to 63.4% HH, spray cattle at home, 93.3% HH reported no 39 vaccination history. Home straying was protective (cOR 0.3, 95% CI 0.14 -0.53). Herd size 40 (aOR 2.9, 95% CI 1.5 -5.5) and having no disease control method (aOR 2.8, 95% CI 1.85 -41 9.19) were contributing to reporting disease. We report positive correlation between drought 42 outcomes and HH head (r=0.076, p>0.01), cattle herd (r=0.216, p=0.003 and individual cattle 43 characteristics(r=0.139, p>0.01). The findings on cattle conditions exacerbate their 44 vulnerability in presence of stressful conditions like droughts especially in calves and cows. 45This study demonstrates weak disease control efforts and unorganized husbandry practices. 46 We propose strategic and focused disease control plans to improve cattle resilience and 47 further research on livestock based factors as drought response metrics for the livestock 48 livelihood.
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Introduction
54Communities living in arid and semi-arid areas globally often face the vagaries of 55 weather, primarily because of rise in ambient temperatures and change in rainfall patterns (4).
56As a result of global warming, drought has been in the last three decades reported to be 57 increasing in frequency, duration and severity (5). The increase in frequency of drought in the 58 arid and semi-arid lands has caused livelihood changes among agrarian communities forcing 59 them to shift towards livestock keeping combined with crop insurance init...