Mission reliability modeling and evaluation of multi-mission phased mission system based on an extended object-oriented Petri net

Wu, Xiang; Xiao-yue, WU

doi:10.17531/ein.2017.2.12

Cited by 8 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 16 publications

(30 reference statements)

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“…First, few researchers have considered that the interception can be conducted in multiple phases [24]- [30]. Due to technology and specific situation, the interception of a missile may also be made in different phases of the missile projectile.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the Optimal Strategy of Missile Interception

Gao

Yan

2021

IEEE Access

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Missiles have been playing an important role in modern wars. In order to gain advantage in missile contests, the technology of missile interception have been developed for many years. However, constrained by current technology, it is still very difficult to intercept successfully. Thus, it may need to optimize the allocation of intercept missiles to prevent attack missiles from hitting targets. This paper proposes a method to optimize the missile interception strategy (intercept missile allocation) by simulating the games of missile interception, which jointly considering multiple phases, multiple targets, cost and the risk attitude of the defender. This method is developed based on combinatorial theory and cumulative prospect theory. There are two optimization goals considered: the cost and the prospect value. We studied two cases where the detection of attack missiles is perfect or imperfect respectively. Four illustrative examples are presented to illustrate the proposed method and several directions of research in future are pointed.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the Optimal Strategy of Missile Interception

Gao

Yan

2021

IEEE Access

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“…A truncation method based on the binary-decisiondiagram (BDD) and Markov chains is proposed to solve the scaling issue. Considering multi-mission PMS with repairable components, and repairable PMS with common cause failures, Wu [20][21] proposed an extended object-oriented Petri net (EOOPN) model for mission reliability simulation. In Li et.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reliability assessment of repairable phased-mission system by monte carlo simulation based on modular sequence-enforcing fault tree model

Liu¹,

Krämer²,

Neumann³

2020

Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability

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“…Simulation methods are very versatile for system representation, but the calculations can be extensive, and only an approximate system reliability result can be obtained [1], [4], [5]. Analytical models increase the flexibility of system representation and provide applicable solutions; such models can be further classified into three types: combinatorial methods [1], [6]- [10], state-space-oriented methods based on Markov chains or Petri nets [6], [7], [9]- [16], and hybrid methods that integrate combinatorial and state-space-oriented methods as appropriate [17], [18]. In [11], [13], [15], the Markov model was proposed; [12] used the hierarchical method; [14] used the Markov and Petri net models; and [16] proposed an extended object-oriented Petri net (EOOPN) model to analyze a PMS.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improved MDD Algorithm for Mission Reliability Estimation of an Escort Formation

et al. 2020

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An escort formation is a phased mission system of systems (PMSoS), which is composed of multiple ships with different functions. The configuration of the formation and success criteria for a mission may vary in different phases. Reliability estimation for PMSoS is complicated due to the strong phase dependence of multiple systems. This paper proposes an improved multiple-valued decision diagram (MDD) algorithm to perform reliability estimation of a nonrepairable escort formation. First, a phased fault tree is established to describe the failure mode of an escort formation throughout a mission, which is simplified according to the common failure basic mission (module) (CFBM). Bottom events are sorted based on the CFBM, and the case method is adopted to generate an MDD from the simplified fault tree model. On this basis, the MDD method is adopted to estimate mission reliability. The performance of the improved MDD method is compared with that of a binary decision diagram (BDD) method and a general MDD method. The results show that the improved MDD method can offer lower computational complexity as well as a simpler model construction over the BDD method and general MDD method. A case study of an escort formation PMSoS is analyzed to illustrate the proposed MDD method, and the sensitivity and composite importance measure (CIM) of each system are evaluated. INDEX TERMS Escort formation, common failure basic mission (module), multiple-valued decision diagram, phased mission system of systems, reliability. ACRONYM BDD binary decision diagram CIM composite importance measure CFBM common failure basic mission (module) DFLM depth-first-left-most EOOPN extended object-oriented Petri net FV Fussell-Vesely MAD mean absolute deviation MDD multiple-valued decision diagram MMAW mean multistate risk achievement worth MMFV mean multistate FV MSS multistate system PDO phase-dependent operation PMS phased mission system PMSoS phased mission system of systems The associate editor coordinating the review of this manuscript and approving it for publication was Jiajie Fan .

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Mission reliability modeling and evaluation of multi-mission phased mission system based on an extended object-oriented Petri net

Cited by 8 publications

References 16 publications

Study on the Optimal Strategy of Missile Interception

Study on the Optimal Strategy of Missile Interception

Reliability assessment of repairable phased-mission system by monte carlo simulation based on modular sequence-enforcing fault tree model

Improved MDD Algorithm for Mission Reliability Estimation of an Escort Formation

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