Mining and petroleum boom and public spending policies in Niger: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis

Sangare, Saadatou Alkassoum; Maisonnave, Hélène

doi:10.1017/s1355770x18000104

Cited by 13 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…The SAM for Malawi is from 2014 (Thurlow, 2017) and for Mozambique from 2015 (Cruz et al, 2018). Niger's SAM was developed in 2014 Sangare and Maisonnave, 2018) and Rwanda's SAM was developed in 2011 and updated to 2015 (IFPRI, 2014).…”

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries

Diallo¹,

Wouterse²

2023

Development Policy Review

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Summary Motivation Countries of Africa have, through the Maputo and Malabo declarations and the companion Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) committed to increased public investment in agriculture. If implemented, this should contribute substantially to realizing several development goals, including reduction of poverty and hunger and making rural populations more resilient to climate change. Purpose How much would implementation of National Agriculture Investment Plans (NAIPs) formulated within CAADP help achieve the aims of the Sustainable Development Goals, Agenda 2063, and the Malabo Declaration—namely, to boost agricultural growth, eradicate hunger, and reduce poverty and inequality? Methods and approach We use data from Côte d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Malawi, Mozambique, Niger, and Rwanda compiled in a Social Accounting Matrix. We run Computable General Equilibrium models with microeconomic models for each country to simulate the potential effect of implementation of the NAIPs. Three different methods to finance increased spending on agriculture are simulated: one that reallocates public expenditure with no overall increase in spending; a second that finances extra spending by more taxes; and one that relies on external funding to increase total spending. Findings Results show that agriculture‐led investment would significantly increase agricultural growth, raise farm productivity, reduce dependency on food imports, improve incomes of food producers, and cut poverty. In most countries, increased investment in agriculture does more to boost growth, create jobs, and cut poverty than investments in industry or services. Raising overall public spending to allow more agricultural investment is far more effective than shifting spending within a fixed budget. Policy implications For the six countries modelled, an agriculture‐led investment strategy appears the best way to eradicate hunger and reduce poverty and inequality while building resilience of rural households.

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Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries

Diallo¹,

Wouterse²

2023

Development Policy Review

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“…To avoid the resource curse – notably for Niger's important agricultural sector – and to increase economic growth, the government plans to re-invest natural resource rents to address its underdeveloped transport infrastructure. Sangare and Maisonnave (2018) find that this policy would increase long-run production in services (0.05 per cent), agriculture (0.03 per cent) and the whole economy (real GDP increases by 0.04 per cent). The finding is in line with recent literature showing that infrastructure investments may help avoid the resource curse.…”

Section: The Studies In the Special Issuementioning

confidence: 99%

Vulnerability and policy responses in the face of natural resource discoveries and climate change: introduction

et al. 2018

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This special issue contributes to the natural resource economics literature by shining a light on the specific challenges and opportunities faced by developing countries that have recently become dependent on natural resources or are particularly exposed to climate change. It is composed of five studies on countries from all regions of the developing world, involving a variety of natural resources and policy issues. Four of the five studies illustrate how computable general equilibrium models are particularly well-suited, despite their relatively limited past use, to the analysis of natural resources. All five studies are led by researchers based in these countries, providing unique insights into the specific local context. The studies underscore the extreme vulnerability that the introduction of significant natural resource revenues and climate change can create in developing countries. They also show how the choice of appropriate policies to avoid the resource curse varies according to country-specific economic conditions.

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“…In Mbanda and Chitiga-Mabugu's (2017) work, households' income and consumption gains by about 0.10% and 0.36%, respectively, reflected price fall over time. Sangare and Maisonnave (2018) found evidence that public spending on infrastructure increases public and private employee consumption by about 0.02% and agricultural employment by 0.03% in the long run, respectively. This paper contributes to these past studies in several ways.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Funding schemes for infrastructure investment and poverty alleviation in Africa: Evidence from Guinea‐Bissau

Catéia

Bittencourt

Carvalho

et al. 2023

J of Intl Development

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This study examines the economic impacts of an infrastructure investment programme in Guinea‐Bissau for the period 2014–2030 using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model. Social accounting matrix (SAM) takes into account informal activities, and the model integrates funding schemes for infrastructure investment. We found that debt‐funded infrastructure investment will generate positive macro‐ and micro‐level externalities in terms of growth and well‐being outcomes across household groups in the urban and rural environments and contribute to inequality reduction. However, direct tax funding scheme is not the best economic development alternative for a country with a low per capita income.

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Mining and petroleum boom and public spending policies in Niger: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis

Cited by 13 publications

References 38 publications

Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries

Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries

Vulnerability and policy responses in the face of natural resource discoveries and climate change: introduction

Funding schemes for infrastructure investment and poverty alleviation in Africa: Evidence from Guinea‐Bissau

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