Migration as adaptation

Black, Richard; Bennett, Stephen R G; Thomas, Sandy M; Beddington, J. R.

doi:10.1038/478477a

Cited by 756 publications

(589 citation statements)

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“…Migration is hence re-conceptualized as a positive form of adaptation and research efforts are re-directed towards understanding "the role of migration in managing risks associated with changing environmental conditions" (Warner et al 2014: 1 see also Black, et al, 2011;Hugo 2008;Piguet 2010).…”

Section: Agents Of Development / Agents Of Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Mobility is still understood as a 1 To be sure, the 'old' alarmist narratives and the securitizing tendencies have not completely disappearedsee for instance the ambiguous tone in IPCC's AR5 ch 12 (2014), and the recent discussions on the role of climatic changes in the ongoing Syrian conflict (Kelley et al 2015). The spectre of mounting waves of climate refugees still titillates the imagination of media outlets, see for instance recent pieces in popular outlets such response to sudden events and slow-onset environmental degradation, but (governed) voluntary migration is also promoted as a legitimate, proactive adaptation strategy aimed at reducing the vulnerability of population at risk (Black et al 2011). The 'migration as adaptation' thesis resides on the recognition of migrants' economic agency and in the hope that remittances will be invested by households and communities to build resilience (Warner and Afifi 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Waltz with development: insights on the developmentalization of climate-induced migration

Bettini

Gioli²

2016

Migration and Development

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Section: Agents Of Development / Agents Of Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Waltz with development: insights on the developmentalization of climate-induced migration

Bettini

Gioli²

2016

Migration and Development

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“…Moreover, when perceived as a response to poverty, social marginalization and to global environmental change, migration serves as a means to reduce vulnerability and increase livelihood security (Black, Bennett, Thomas, & Beddington 2011;Scheffran, Marmer, & Sow 2012;Tacoli, 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Time matters: shifting seasonal migration in Northern Ghana in response to rainfall variability and food insecurity

Rademacher‐Schulz

Schraven

Mahama³

2013

Climate and Development

128

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This article examines the interrelationships between rainfall variability, livelihood/food security and migration in rural Savannah communities in Northern Ghana. It addresses the question of how strong dry season migration is pronounced and whether the recent dominant migration type is a coping or adaptation mechanism. The analysis is based on empirical research conducted in four communities of the Nadowli District (Upper West Region), using a mixed methods approach. It was found that the households are highly dependent on rain-fed subsistence agriculture and livestock rearing, showing a low degree of economic diversification. Study participants in general complained about the unpredictability of the weather and linked changes in rainfall to declining crop yields and livestock possession as well as to increasing food prices. A common livelihood strategy used by households is dry-season migration to more suitable farming areas and to mining sites. Research in 2011 revealed that the majority of migrants were forced to migrate during the rainy season in order to feed the household members. This observation may indicate a shift in seasonal migration patterns with potentially harmful consequences for household livelihood security in the future.

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“…At the 'external' level the change in local rainfall variability and mean experienced by a location is input. This change is seen to affect a pentagon of 'drivers of migration' (Black, Bennet, Thomas, & Beddington, 2011), a number of subcomponents of which are identified for explicit inclusion in the model.…”

Section: Conceptual Framingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling migration futures: development and testing of the Rainfalls Agent-Based Migration Model – Tanzania

Smith

2014

Climate and Development

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This paper describes the conceptual and practical development and testing of the Rainfalls Agent-Based Migration ModelTanzania (RABMM-T). Drawing upon the literature on the process of developing and parameterizing a social simulation in the absence of spatio-temporal data, the paper outlines the translation of the conceptual framework into a working agent-based model. The possible impact of a change in local rainfall variability and mean upon household income, food production, and therefore the resilience and migration of members, is simulated to permit consideration of the possible impact of the artificial scenarios tested. In addition to the influence of changing rainfall, other non-rainfall scenarios are tested to explore the scale of the changes simulated. It is proposed that while a relatively clear impact of rainfall scenarios upon household resilience is simulated, the impact upon migration of household members is generally less clear. Furthermore, demographic and societal changes to the model are also seen to clearly contribute to the simulation outputs generated. The paper concludes that RABMM-T offers the first step in developing a potentially valuable resource for producing comparable migration forecasts that consider a range of contributory mechanisms. However, careful parameterization is required to ensure the quality and value of model outputs.

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Migration as adaptation

Cited by 756 publications

References 1 publication

Waltz with development: insights on the developmentalization of climate-induced migration

Waltz with development: insights on the developmentalization of climate-induced migration

Time matters: shifting seasonal migration in Northern Ghana in response to rainfall variability and food insecurity

Modelling migration futures: development and testing of the Rainfalls Agent-Based Migration Model – Tanzania

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