Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective

Eerola, Annele; Miles, Ian

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.005

Cited by 38 publications

(49 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…The critical analysis of the existing published works of authors such as Daim et al (2012), Caetano, Amaral (2011), Ahlqvist et al (2012), Saritas, Aylen (2010), Eerola, Miles (2011), Lee et al (2012) also confirms the authors' observations in that respect. However, in the existing published works, the authors of this article have not come across a publication which at the same time offers best practices of the method application as well as useful guidelines for its possible practitioners.…”

Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 78%

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Kononiuk

Gudanowska

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

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Abstract. The aim of the article is to present the best practices of technology roadmapping application to the Polish foresight initiatives. The first part of the article is devoted to presentation of the conceptualisation of the best practices for the context of foresight studies and serves as the proposal of the possible criteria of technology roadmapping method benchmarking. In the second part of the article, there have been presented the results of technology roadmapping evaluation in the context of Polish foresight initiatives with the special emphasis on the best practices. The final part of the article offers recommendations for technology roadmapping application to foresight studies.

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Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 78%

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Kononiuk

Gudanowska

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

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“…Methods used in the future-oriented technology analysis are derived from both the social sciences (Eerola, Miles 2011), as well as technical sciences (Halicka 2014;Idier 2000). They are often modified for the purpose of far-reaching analyses of technology development.…”

Section: The Current Classification Of Methods Used In Fta -A Literatmentioning

confidence: 99%

Innovative Classification of Methods of the Future-Oriented Technology Analysis

Halicka

2016

Technological and Economic Development of Economy

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Abstract. In the era characterized by significant dynamics of the environment traditional methods of anticipating the future, assuming the immutability of the factors affecting the forecasted phenomenon, may be in the long term ineffective. The modern approach of predicting the future of technology, taking into account the multidimensionality of the environment, is, among other things, the Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Designing the FTA research procedure is a complex process, both in organizational and methodological terms. The catalogue of methods that can be used in this process is extensive and constantly open. However, in the source literature the rules for the selection of methods appropriate for the type of research were not specified. The ways of combining methods in the research process were also missing. The main aim of this article was to present the author's classification of methods of future-oriented technology analysis and indicate the possibilities of its application. In the text, using statistical methods and artificial neural networks, the classification of methods with the potential of exploitation in prospective technology analysis was carried out. Each of the received classes was analysed, the characteristics of particular groups of methods were selected, and authorial names characterizing the given classes were chosen. According to the author, the application of the proposed classification of methods of future-oriented technology analysis facilitates the design of the FTA research process. It will contribute to the systematization and standardization of the manner of selection of research methods. It will also allow for the selection of complementary methods.

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“…Then, integrating the elicited knowledge and needs with stakeholders' and experts' knowledge serves for co-creating socially robust knowledge for orienting policy and strategy programming to strengthen responsible innovation. Such an FTA approach necessarily implies knowledge management, as it engages multiple actors, sectors and interests in 'finding, deploying, using and fusing-and, yes, even creating-knowledge' [93]. Designing ways to manage the challenges of such participatory knowledge co-creation is especially important.…”

Section: Strategy and Policy Programme Development As Early Entry Poimentioning

confidence: 99%

Human centred science and technology—transdisciplinary foresight and co-creation as tools for active needs-based innovation governance

Gudowsky

Peissl

2016

Eur J Futures Res

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Current governance structures are increasingly showing inability to address complex issues such as the Grand Challenges. Dealing with these highly interrelated, cross cutting, extensive and potentially open ended issues requires research, development and innovation to be oriented towards societal needs and demands. Here, developing and applying sustainable long term strategies for socio-technical change on the basis of socially robust knowledge seems inevitable and using the tools of anticipatory governance-forward looking and participation-is essential in order to govern innovation actively and responsibly. Yet, expert-based forward looking has its limits, especially when considering long term perspectives, and may fail to include all necessary opinions. Thus, stakeholder engagement has become a norm over the last decades, but including laypeople into forward looking science, technology and innovation (STI) governance is underexplored. Here, strategy and policy programme development may be well suited to function as early entry point for public needs and values into the innovation process. This paper will briefly review the theoretical basis for transdisciplinary forward looking and provide first insights into an ongoing highly deliberative and reflexive foresight and co-creation process engaging science, society and policy makers, CIMULACTCitizen and Multi-Actor Consultation on Horizon2020. We will especially focus on the role of technology within a collective visioning exercise that allowed for shared explorations of desirable futures, thereby collecting tacit knowledge as well as social needs and values. Integrating these with stakeholders' and experts' knowledge serves for co-creating socially robust knowledge for orienting policy and strategy programming towards needs based science, technology and innovation.

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Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective

Cited by 38 publications

References 21 publications

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Innovative Classification of Methods of the Future-Oriented Technology Analysis

Human centred science and technology—transdisciplinary foresight and co-creation as tools for active needs-based innovation governance

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