Methodologies used to estimate tobacco-attributable mortality: a review

Pérez-Ríos, Mónica; Montes, Agustín

doi:10.1186/1471-2458-8-22

Cited by 59 publications

(45 citation statements)

References 80 publications

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“…The adapted and simplified Peto-Lopez method we used to estimate SAF, has the advantage of a low demand of data, is easy to use, and widely used (30). Furthermore, potential benefits of smoking cessation and likely effects of secondhand smoking are indirectly taking into account because of the use of lung cancer mortality.…”

Section: Reflection On the Indirect Estimation Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The future of smoking‐attributable mortality: the case of England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands

et al. 2014

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AIMSWe formally estimate future smoking-attributable mortality up to 2050 for the total national populations of England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands, providing an update and extension of the descriptive smokingepidemic model. METHODSWe used smoking prevalence and population-level lung-cancer mortality data for England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands, covering the period 1950 to 2009. To estimate the future smoking-attributable mortality fraction (SAF) we: (1) project lung cancer mortality by extrapolating age-period-cohort trends, using the observed convergence of smoking prevalence and similarities in past lung cancer mortality between men and women as input; (2) add other causes of death attributable to smoking by applying a simplified version of the indirect Peto-Lopez method to the projected lung cancer mortality. and 11-16% (the Netherlands) for men, and 7-16%, 12-26%, and 13-31%, for women. CONCLUSIONSFrom Northern European data we project that smoking-attributable mortality will remain important for the future, especially for women. Whereas substantial differences between countries remain, the age-specific evolution of smoking-attributable mortality stays similar across countries and between sexes.3

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Section: Reflection On the Indirect Estimation Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The future of smoking‐attributable mortality: the case of England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands

et al. 2014

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“…The existing studies on regional or within-country mortality differences have mentioned a potential role of smoking (e.g., Papastergiou et al 2008;Bonneux, Huisman, and de Beer 2010), for example in relation to socio-economic differences in mortality (e.g., Kunst, Looman, and Mackenbach 1990;Spijker 2004;Mackenbach, Kunst, and Looman 1991;Mackenbach, Looman, and Kunst 1989), but these studies did not examine the contribution of smoking to all-cause mortality. To assess the impact of tobacco on society, estimates of smoking-attributable mortality are regarded as very useful tools (e.g., Oliveira, Valente, and Leite 2008;Perez-Rios and Montes 2008). Based on the literature reviews on smoking-attributable mortality (Oliveira, Valente, and Leite 2008;Perez-Rios and Montes 2008) we can conclude that many studies have estimated smoking-attributable mortality, although national-level studies are much more common than regional studies, and different estimation methods have been used.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The contribution of smoking to regional mortality differences in the Netherlands

Janssen¹,

Spriensma²

2012

DemRes

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“…Since establishing the etiological association between exposure to tobacco smoke and mortality [13,14], estimating the death toll of tobacco use has been plagued by controversies regarding limitations of quantitative methods, and results of such analyses constantly face criticism by various entities, including the tobacco industry [15].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One limitation of methods aiming to estimate tobacco--attributable mortality lies is defining smokers as current, former, and never smokers [12,15,16], which significantly impacts downstream results [15,17]. Defining smokers as a homogeneous group without accounting for the number of cigarettes smoked, age at which smoking began, length of exposure, and other variables that may impact risk, can lead to considerable differences in estimation results [15].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Defining smokers as a homogeneous group without accounting for the number of cigarettes smoked, age at which smoking began, length of exposure, and other variables that may impact risk, can lead to considerable differences in estimation results [15]. Newly emerging evidence, such as the recent finding of a causal relationship between tobacco smoking and breast cancer risk, must also be considered when analyzing tobacco-attributable cancer mortality rates [18,19].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Time trends in tobacco-attributable cancer mortality in Poland — direct estimation method

Mańczuk

Sulkowska²,

Łobaszewski³

et al. 2017

Nowotwory. Journal of Oncology

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Introduction. Since the 20 th century tobacco smoking has had an enormous impact on morbidity and mortality in the adult population, and it remains the greatest single preventable health risk factor worldwide. Cancer is the second leading cause of death in Poland, with lung cancer as the primary cause of cancer-related death in Polish men and women. Given these statistics, this manuscript aims to estimate tobacco-attributable cancer mortality in Poland. Material and methods. Data on cancer mortality come from the WHO Mortality Statistics database. Data on smoking prevalence in Poland come from standardized surveys based on nationally representative samples. Data on relative risks come from the Cancer Prevention Study II. Tobacco-attributable fractions were calculated using standard methodology for calculating population-based attributable fractions. Results. In 2014, there were over 24 thousand tobacco-attributed cancer deaths in men. Lung cancer tops the list of ranked cancer types, with a tobacco-attributable fraction of 93%. Next is laryngeal (TAF = 90%), oropharyngeal (TAF = 86%) and esophageal (TAF = 80%) cancer. Overall, two-thirds of the considered cancer deaths were attributed to tobacco smoke (TAF = 75%). In 2014, there were over 7.5 thousand of cancer deaths related to smoking in women. Here, both laryngeal and lung cancer (both TAF = 76%) top the ranked list. Next are esophageal (TAF = 61%) and oropharyngeal (TAF = 51%) cancers, and when combined almost half of all considered cancer deaths were attributed to tobacco smoke (TAF = 44%). Conclusions. Tobacco smoking and tobacco-attributable cancer mortality remain one of the greatest health burdens in Poles. Each year over 30 thousand Polish men and women die of cancer caused by smoking. All these deaths could be avoided. NOWOTWORY J Oncol 2017; 67, 4: 227-235

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Methodologies used to estimate tobacco-attributable mortality: a review

Cited by 59 publications

References 80 publications

The future of smoking‐attributable mortality: the case of England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands

The future of smoking‐attributable mortality: the case of England & Wales, Denmark and the Netherlands

The contribution of smoking to regional mortality differences in the Netherlands

Time trends in tobacco-attributable cancer mortality in Poland — direct estimation method

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