Medical decisions under uncertainty

Developing a method for prediction of relapsing myocardial infarction based on interpolation diagnostic polynomial

“…At the first stage, for the prediction of RIM, based on the method for determining significance of opinions of experts during formation of an expert group [13][14][15][16], we selected a group of experts, which includes the best 5 specialists, who have been working in the field of cardiology for not less than 10 years.…”

“…At the eleventh stage a doctor forms the vector of state of patient a i and, with the use of polynomial (15), determines the values of measure of proximity to each class С i . After this, based on the obtained values, a possible class of the state is determined.…”

“…The corresponding fragment of the interpolation diagnostic polynomial (the first and last ten members) by (15) takes the following form: -3 3 5 2 3 i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 3 3 5 2 2 3 3 5 2 1 i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 1 2 3 4 5 3 3 5 2 0 3 3 5 1 3 i1 2 i3 i4 i5 i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 148297,1837k k k k k 105389,0096k k k k k .…”