2020
DOI: 10.1128/aac.01727-19
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Mechanistic Modeling of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in Murine Models for Drug and Vaccine Efficacy Studies

Abstract: Tuberculosis (TB) drug, regimen, and vaccine development rely heavily on preclinical animal experiments, and quantification of bacterial and immune response dynamics is essential for understanding drug and vaccine efficacy. A mechanism-based model was built to describe Mycobacterium tuberculosis H37Rv infection over time in BALB/c and athymic nude mice, which consisted of bacterial replication, bacterial death, and adaptive immune effects. The adaptive immune effect was best described by a sigmoidal function o… Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(23 citation statements)
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“…1c ), consistent with rapid bacillary replication. After the onset of adaptive immunity 19 , 20 , the Mtb burden plateaued and rRNA synthesis slowed (day 25). By day 53, the RS ratio was low but far from maximally suppressed, consistent with previous “replication clock” experiments showing that the plateau in CFU reflects a dynamic equilibrium between death and ongoing replication rather than a dormant non-replicating state 19 , 21 , 22 .…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1c ), consistent with rapid bacillary replication. After the onset of adaptive immunity 19 , 20 , the Mtb burden plateaued and rRNA synthesis slowed (day 25). By day 53, the RS ratio was low but far from maximally suppressed, consistent with previous “replication clock” experiments showing that the plateau in CFU reflects a dynamic equilibrium between death and ongoing replication rather than a dormant non-replicating state 19 , 21 , 22 .…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The immune system forms a natural component in models of viral infections, such as HIV, 57 but has also been considered in models for translation of other infections. In tuberculosis, the adaptive immune system is important for bacterial clearance, and has in a modeling framework, based on data from a mouse model, been suggested to affect the replication rate, 58,59 and be dependent on both the current bacterial load and the incubation time. This model was subsequently applied to perform simulations to predict long-term treatment outcomes in patients.…”
Section: Host Responsementioning
confidence: 99%
“…These models have the potential to inform selection of the human‐equivalent dose and dosing schedule of a candidate drug used in a combination to then determine the likelihood of achieving treatment durations of 1 to 3 months with efficacy in both drug sensitive and drug resistant patients. Significant recent progress has been realized in the development of such systems pharmacology models (see below) to enable comparative efficacy evaluation and intended treatment‐shortening potential of novel regimens based on preclinical data and optimized translational simulations 166–170 . These model systems seek to integrate: (i) the quantification of the bacterial growth dynamics in the absence of treatment, (ii) the impact of immune system response in the absence and presence of treatment, (iii) the contribution of each drug (concentration–response relationship) to the observed total efficacy of drug combinations, and (iv) the interplay between disease pathology and drug response, including description of tissue penetration.…”
Section: Global Healthmentioning
confidence: 99%