2021
DOI: 10.1029/2021jc017239
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Mechanisms Driving Decadal Changes in the Carbonate System of a Coastal Plain Estuary

Abstract: Global atmospheric CO 2 concentrations have increased from 320 ppm in the 1960s to a present-day value of 410 ppm due to anthropogenic activities (Keeling & Keeling, 2017). This increase has resulted in significant warming in the atmosphere and the global ocean (Hartmann et al., 2013;Johnson & Lyman, 2020), and significant reductions in open ocean pH and aragonite saturation state (Ω AR ) at mean rates of −0.02 pH units decade −1 and 0.08 decade −1 , respectively, over the past three decades (Doney et al., 200… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…A consideration of this alternative threshold value could help to identify habitat environments for shell-forming species in Chesapeake Bay, and to inform empirical and process-based models of mineral dissolution and precipitation in estuarine environments. Specifically, existing carbonate biogeochemistry models in Chesapeake Bay either do not fully consider calcium carbonate processes , or apply conventional saturation state thresholds initially derived and widely used in coastal and open ocean areas because of a lack of field data to quantify the occurrence and magnitude of calcium precipitation/dissolution in estuarine environments. The threshold estimated from 20 years of bay-wide water quality data in this study could be incorporated into the process-based physical-biogeochemical models, reducing the biases and uncertainties in carbonate chemistry simulations (e.g., CO 2 sink/source, climate change on estuarine pH).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A consideration of this alternative threshold value could help to identify habitat environments for shell-forming species in Chesapeake Bay, and to inform empirical and process-based models of mineral dissolution and precipitation in estuarine environments. Specifically, existing carbonate biogeochemistry models in Chesapeake Bay either do not fully consider calcium carbonate processes , or apply conventional saturation state thresholds initially derived and widely used in coastal and open ocean areas because of a lack of field data to quantify the occurrence and magnitude of calcium precipitation/dissolution in estuarine environments. The threshold estimated from 20 years of bay-wide water quality data in this study could be incorporated into the process-based physical-biogeochemical models, reducing the biases and uncertainties in carbonate chemistry simulations (e.g., CO 2 sink/source, climate change on estuarine pH).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Like many other coastal areas (e.g., Scanes et al, 2020;Da et al, 2021), the nwGOM estuaries have experienced gradual but significant warming over the past decades, with the overall warming rate of 0.0428 • C yr −1 (Montagna et al, 2011b). This change alone would lead to 1-2 µatm yr −1 increase in pCO 2 and ∼0.0004-0.0006 yr −1 decrease in pH, based on the average water chemistry parameters and an average temperature of 25 • C in Supplementary Table 2.…”
Section: Spatial Heterogeneity In Carbonate System Parameters and Lon...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Modeling studies and retrospective data analysis have shown significant but complex long-term pH trends in Chesapeake bay over the past three decades (Shen et al, 2020;Da et al, 2021). In the upper bay, where pH in near-surface waters has historically been low, there has been a long-term increase (basification), influenced by freshwater input and increasing alkalinity in the Susquehanna River (Kaushal et al, 2013).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%