The development of
new, effective, and safe drugs to treat cancer
remains a challenging and time-consuming task due to limited hit rates,
restraining subsequent development efforts. Despite the impressive
progress of quantitative structure–activity relationship and
machine learning-based models that have been developed to predict
molecule pharmacodynamics and bioactivity, they have had mixed success
at identifying compounds with anticancer properties against multiple
cell lines. Here, we have developed a novel predictive tool, pdCSM-cancer,
which uses a graph-based signature representation of the chemical
structure of a small molecule in order to accurately predict molecules
likely to be active against one or multiple cancer cell lines. pdCSM-cancer
represents the most comprehensive anticancer bioactivity prediction
platform developed till date, comprising trained and validated models
on experimental data of the growth inhibition concentration (GI50%)
effects, including over 18,000 compounds, on 9 tumor types and 74
distinct cancer cell lines. Across 10-fold cross-validation, it achieved
Pearson’s correlation coefficients of up to 0.74 and comparable
performance of up to 0.67 across independent, non-redundant blind
tests. Leveraging the insights from these cell line-specific models,
we developed a generic predictive model to identify molecules active
in at least 60 cell lines. Our final model achieved an area under
the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of up to 0.94 on
10-fold cross-validation and up to 0.94 on independent non-redundant
blind tests, outperforming alternative approaches. We believe that
our predictive tool will provide a valuable resource to optimizing
and enriching screening libraries for the identification of effective
and safe anticancer molecules. To provide a simple and integrated
platform to rapidly screen for potential biologically active molecules
with favorable anticancer properties, we made pdCSM-cancer freely
available online at
.