We extend the nonparametric framework
of reaction coordinate optimization
to nonequilibrium ensembles of (short) trajectories. For example,
we show how, starting from such an ensemble, one can obtain an equilibrium
free-energy profile along the committor, which can be used to determine
important properties of the dynamics exactly. A new adaptive sampling
approach, the transition-state ensemble enrichment, is suggested,
which samples the configuration space by “growing” committor
segments toward each other starting from the boundary states. This
framework is suggested as a general tool, alternative to the Markov
state models, for a rigorous and accurate analysis of simulations
of large biomolecular systems, as it has the following attractive
properties. It is immune to the curse of dimensionality, does not
require system-specific information, can approximate arbitrary reaction
coordinates with high accuracy, and has sensitive and rigorous criteria
to test optimality and convergence. The approaches are illustrated
on a 50-dimensional model system and a realistic protein folding trajectory.