“…Alternatively, if only the 35 countries practicing CBA replaced their fishing of these species with mariculture, then results would be more modest, but still positive (64,000 tonnes, Q 25 = 29,000 Q 75 = 91,000). Importantly, however, increasing extraction of for CBA without reducing wild capture fisheries simply increases fishing pressure on wild stocks, meaning that aligning aquaculture-fisheries policy and management is key to realizing the potential ecological benefits explored here, and, perhaps more importantly, accounting for the socioeconomic tradeoffs that may result, for example, Xuan & Armstrong, 2017. Biomass savings were strongly dependent on earlier life-stage (discrete) natural mortality of the farmed CBA species: in aggregate, savings were projected to occur in all species with earlier life-stage natural mortality greater than 0.30, and peaking in those with mortalities of approximately 0.78 (Figure 4; df 2 = 769, p < .001, R 2 adj = 0.98). Similar thresholds were found in the later-stage natural mortality CBA sensitivity test (Figure S3; 0.30-0.65).…”