Mapping the unmeasurable?

Sherbinin, Alex de

doi:10.3990/1.9789036538091

Cited by 5 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 83 publications

(112 reference statements)

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“…For example, by laying the climate change maps next to maps of malnutrition rates it was possible easily to identify areas where both climate change and health programming could be prioritised and coordinated. This use of maps confirms findings from other work in which maps are found to be useful boundary objects for generating discussions among people with different disciplinary backgrounds or portfolios (de Sherbinin ; Preston et al . ).…”

Section: The Policy Influence Of the West Africa Vulnerability Mapssupporting

confidence: 87%

“…As geographic information for priority setting is often a favoured option among policy audiences (e.g. BMZ ; de Sherbinin ), it will be important to refine vulnerability mapping methods and to continue studying the manner in which maps are assimilated into policy‐making processes and used to inform decisions.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While it is widely recognised that vulnerability mapping is vitally important for adaptation planning (PROVIA ), there is general agreement that measuring and mapping vulnerability is challenging (e.g. de Sherbinin ). For example, Hinkel () argues that, for most purposes, vulnerability as a concept cannot be adequately quantified, while Birkmann and Wisner () suggest that despite the need for measurement, there is a sense in which vulnerability is unmeasurable.…”

Section: Indicators Maps and The Science–policy Interfacementioning

confidence: 99%

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Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa

Sherbinin

Apotsos

Chevrier

2017

Geographical Journal

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We describe the development of climate vulnerability maps for three Sahelian countries – Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger – and for coastal West Africa, with a focus on the way the maps were designed to meet decision‐making needs and their ultimate influence and use in policy contexts. The paper provides a review of the literature on indicators and maps in the science–policy interface. We then assess the credibility, salience, and legitimacy of the maps as tools for decision‐making. Results suggest that vulnerability maps are a useful boundary object for generating discussions among stakeholders with different objectives and technical backgrounds, and that they can provide useful input for targeting development assistance. We conclude with a discussion of the power of maps to capture policy‐maker attention, and how this increases the onus on map developers to communicate clearly uncertainties and limitations. The assessment of policy uptake in this paper is admittedly subjective; the article includes a discussion of ways to conduct more objective and rigorous assessments of policy impact so as to better evaluate the value and use of vulnerability mapping in decision‐making processes.

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Section: The Policy Influence Of the West Africa Vulnerability Mapssupporting

confidence: 87%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Indicators Maps and The Science–policy Interfacementioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa

Sherbinin

Apotsos

Chevrier

2017

Geographical Journal

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“…241 Population growth and increased population density are expected to exacerbate these effects, leading to, among other impacts, increased migration. 242 Migration from the Northern Triangle (El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras) has sharply increased, especially since 2017. 243 Environmental degradation, extreme weather events, population density, poverty and violence are the main factors driving this migration 244 -particularly with regard to rural families, CASCADING RISKS An initial event creates risk(s) that spill over into other regions or sectors, generating further impacts that snowball to produce new risks distinct from and potentially greater than the original event.…”

Section: Cascading Effects Of Climate Change On Migration In Guatemalamentioning

confidence: 99%

Security Risks of Environmental Crises: Environment of Peace (Part 2)

Coning¹,

Busby²,

Eklöw³

et al. 2022

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This research report is a product of the Environment of Peace initiative launched by SIPRI in May 2020. It sets out the evidence base that provided the foundation for Environment of Peace: Security in a New Era of Risk, a policy report published in May 2022. The report is published in four parts-Elements of a Planetary Emergency (part 1); Security Risks of Environmental Crises (part 2); Navigating a Just and Peaceful Transition (part 3); and Enabling an Environment of Peace (part 4)-as outlined below. Elements of a Planetary EmergencyPart 1 lays out the conceptual and evidential landscape for Environment of Peace, bringing together data on a wide range of indicators, showing that both security and environmental stresses are increasing. Security Risks of Environmental CrisesThis part, part 2, shows how combinations of environmental and security phenomena are generating complex risks. Through a theoretical framework informed by the literature, Cedric de Coning, Research Professor at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), and his team explore different pathways from environmental stress to conflict and how the darkening security horizon and environmental crises are interacting to generate different types of risk: compound, cascading, emergent, systemic and existential. The analysis is supported by numerous case studies, spanning a variety of social-ecological systems and different types of risks. This part of the report also discusses options for responding to these complex risks. Navigating a Just and Peaceful TransitionPart 3 focuses on needed transitions towards sustainability and climate resilience, with special attention given to areas such as land use, energy and climate response. Enabling an Environment of PeacePart 4 examines the legal and institutional landscape within which the twin crises-and humanity's responses to them-play out. Other related materialsSeparate annexes assemble a number of in-depth case studies and other input papers that were commissioned to inform the research and analysis of the report.

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“…Thus, though the dynamism of vulnerability was long recognized, future socioeconomic conditions were seldom accounted for. In this study, flood risk was assessed using an integrated approach, which focuses on both the physical and social aspects of the flood event as they are equally important (Adger, 2006; De Sherbinin, 2014; Gain et al, 2015; Qi et al, 2022; Rahman, 2006). The physical aspects include the flood attributes such as affected area, depth and duration, and the social aspects include the features of human life and property that face the harmful consequences due to the occurrence of the flood (de Moel et al, 2015; Huda et al, 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated assessment of flood risk in Arial Khan floodplain of Bangladesh under changing climate and socioeconomic conditions

Chyon

Biswas

Mondal

et al. 2023

J Flood Risk Management

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In the assessment of flood risk, the future flood hazard due to climate change is often tied to the present socioeconomic conditions. This makes an implicit assumption that the drivers of risk, other than the hazard, remain constant with time. Therefore, such risk assessment does not provide a realistic outlook for devising plausible mitigation strategies and plans. In this study, flood risk was assessed from an integrated perspective by considering both physical hazard, and socioeconomic exposure and vulnerability-all changing with time.The flood hazard in the Arial Khan River floodplain in the southcentral Bangladesh was simulated with a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model, and the exposure and vulnerability were projected using different statistical techniques. Principal component analysis was conducted to assign weights to the indicators of hazard, exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The results show that the flood depth, duration, and extent would increase from the baseline to 2080s under regional concentration pathway (RCP) 2.6 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. The sensitivity and vulnerability would decrease, reflecting an improved adaptive capacity. The low-risk areas could increase from 62% in the baseline to 85%-91% in 2080s depending on the RCPs. The approach followed can be applied elsewhere in developing countries, particularly in riverine floodplain settings. K E Y W O R D S climate change, flood exposure, integrated risk assessment, physical hazard, vulnerability projection 1 | INTRODUCTION Climate change (CC) is one of the world's most pressing environmental concerns, posing threats to both socioeconomic development and human survival. According to the sixth assessment report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global surface temperature might rise by more than 2 C by the end of this century for the regional concentration pathway (RCP) 6.0 and RCP 8.5 emission scenarios (IPCC, 2021).

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Mapping the unmeasurable?

Cited by 5 publications

References 83 publications

Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa

Mapping the future: policy applications of climate vulnerability mapping in West Africa

Security Risks of Environmental Crises: Environment of Peace (Part 2)

Integrated assessment of flood risk in Arial Khan floodplain of Bangladesh under changing climate and socioeconomic conditions

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